Week 5 Results | 23W-14L-4P | +2.590 Units Profit by costanza

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· @costanza ·
$0.25
Week 5 Results | 23W-14L-4P | +2.590 Units Profit
<center><b>This is a weekly overview of my personal handicapping and live betting results on teams from the Belgian Jupiler League with some insights on my overall approach.</b></center>

<center>https://images.hive.blog/DQmPefmo1kJhKqfLJerNQEDc5edZJUbJFiFECiQxMapxeNi/05.jpg</center>

<p>Some solid results in week 5 as my 2 main positions ( <i>1st half Under in Zulte-Waregem vs Charleroi & Beerschot +0.5</i> ) ended up in clear winners. I'm back in the green on the season but I can't help but feel somewhat disappointed as my handicapping has been pretty good while I failed to really capitalize on it since I've been way too cautious in my stakes since I do have quite some self-doubt. If you are in betting and the Asian handicaps that have higher limits for a long time, you really learn to respect the market because you fundamentally know it the edges are quite thin.

<p>Doing some analysis it shows that I corner bets so far cost me quite some (-22.09% ROI on 41 Bets, 17W-21L so mostly some bigger live bets lost, pre-game corner markets tend to have low limits)  while both the pre-game (+13.97% ROI on 34 bets) and live-bets (+5.53% on 84 Bets) are quite profitable. My average stake is also way too low coming in at  0.285 units.</p>

<p>I am tracking the actual performance of the pre-game selections I am sharing in all my preview posts and they have been performing extremely well.</p>

**Bet**|**Week**|**Match**| | |**Total**
:-----:|:-----:|:-----:|:-----:|:-----:|:-----:
1|Week 1|Cercle Brugge Team Total under 0.75 @ 1.88|WON|0,880|0,880
2|Week 1|Sint-Truiden Team Total Under 1 @ 1.88|LOST|-1,000|-0,120
3|Week 1|Zulte-Waregem +0.5 @ 2.04|LOST|-1,000|-1,120
4|Week 1|Mechelen vs Anderlecht Under 2.75 @ 1.890|LOST|-1,000|-2,120
5|Week 1|Oostende Team Total Under 1.25 @ 1.85|WON|0,425|-1,695
6|Week 2|Moeskroen vs Mechelen 1st Half Under 1 @ 2.08|PUSH|0,000|-1,695
7|Week 2|Moeskroen vs Mechelen  Under 2.75 @ 1.813|WON|0,813|-0,882
8|Week 2|AA Gent vs Kortrijk 1st Half Under 1.25 @ 1.89|WON|0,445|-0,437
9|Week 2|Antwerp 1st Half -0.25 @ 2.07|WON|1,070|0,633
10|Week 2|Antwerp -0.5 @ 1.901|LOST|-1,000|-0,367
11|Week 3|Antwero vs AA Gent 1st Half under 1 @ 2.085|PUSH|0,000|-0,367
12|Week 3|Racing Genk Corners +0.5 @ 1.97|LOST|-1,000|-1,367
13|Week 3|Club Brugge vs Beerschot 1st Half Under 1.25 @ 1.850|WON|0,425|-0,942
14|Week 3|Oostende Corners +1.25 @ 1.85|WON|0,850|-0,092
15|Week 3|Oostende 1st Half Corners +0.5 @ 1.930|WON|0,930|0,838
16|Week 4|Oostende +1 @ 1.725|WON|0,725|1,563
17|Week 4|Waasland vs OHL 1st Half Under 1 @ 2.12|PUSH|0,000|1,563
18|Week 4|Moeskroen vs Zulte-Waregem 1st Half under 1 @ 2.16|WON|1,160|2,723
19|Week 4|Moeskroen vs Zulte-Waregem Under 2.75 @ 1.934|WON|0,934|3,657
20|Week 4|Club Brugge 1st Half +0 @ 1.724|WON|0,724|4,381
21|Week 4|Beerschot +0.25 @ 1.947|LOST|-1,000|3,381
22|Week 4|Charleroi vs Antwerp 1st Half Under 1 @ 1.99 |PUSH|0,000|3,381
23|Week 4|Antwerp +0.5 @ 1.729|LOST|-1,000|2,381
24|Week 5|Oostende 1st Half +0.25 @ 1.869|WON|0,430|2,811
25|Week 5|Oostende +0.75 @ 1.821|WON|0,821|3,632
26|Week 5|Oostende +1.5 CK @ 1.934|WON|0,934|4,566
27|Week 5|Oud-Heverlee Leuven +1 @ 1.81|WON|0,810|5,376
28|Week 5|Sint-Truiden Team Total Under 1 @ 2.06|LOST|-1,000|4,376
29|Week 5|Stvv +1.5 CK @ 1.80|WON|0,800|5,176
30|Week 5|Stvv vs Antwerp Under 10 Corners @ 1.787|WON|0,787|5,963
31|Week 5|Zulte vs Charleroi 1st Half Under 1 @ 2.197|WON|1,197|7,160
32|Week 5|Zulte vs Charleroi 1st Half Under 0.75 @ 2.71|WON|1,710|8,870
33|Week 5|Beerschot +0.5 @ 1.869|WON|0,869|9,739
34|Week 5|Beerschot 1st Half +0 @ 2.38|PUSH|0,000|9,739

<hr>

The gap is huge though as I only managed to win around 2.5 units from these myself compared to the 9.739 in case I would have taken them all with flat 1 unit stakes. This is due to multiple facts. To start the limits often don't allow me to take the bets at full stake, many of them are multiple bets on similar positions or split stakes and 1 unit in my regular betting currently represents a big bet with full confidence.

https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmR8jUxMDCb4Y1TpeXZV2uAtF5kp5DvPhk45GVSXCtMvhi/copy.png

<div class="pull-right">https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmdUgXMfoVjPp1LAyzkiJ48kf1WznKHM1Dfy7Tgi6bKuzh/sbc.jpg</div>No official pre-game or Live bets on <a href="https://www.copytip.com/en/promo/KYNZWqHp">Copytip</a> or  the <a href="https://discordapp.com/invite/VZZ7ruz">SBC Discord</a> this week as I always like to see how it goes the first week after an international break. I do continue to share most of the live bets I take on the SBC Discord though and plan on continue doing this as it brings about consistency for myself in the first place and I know at least a couple are watching them.

<hr>

<b>Discord / Copytip Live-Bets Season 2020-2021</b>

<blockquote>

30/08/2020 Club Brugge -0.25 @ 1.846 (20' 0-0) FT 2-1 Bet WON
22/08/2020 Zulte-Waregem Team Total over 2 @ 1.924 (37' 1-0) FT 4-1 Bet WON
</blockquote>

<center><a href="https://www.sportmarket.com/?affiliateid=140"><img src="https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmNNpGjWybvhHQsR2W13stMJnks58rA5C32NKb8Jy8MbfQ/SMPxyz.jpg"/></a></center>

<center><i>I take all my Live bets with my Betting Broker <a href="https://www.sportmarket.com/?affiliateid=140">Sportmarket Pro</a> who always provide the best offers on the market with a 1 click solution and don't limit winning players offering high limits. For more info check my <a href="https://steemit.com/betting/@costanza/betting-broker-review-or-sportmarket-pro#@costanza/re-suit5-re-costanza-betting-broker-review-or-sportmarket-pro-20180607t161329017z">Sportmarket Pro Review</a></i></center>

<hr>


https://images.hive.blog/DQmWqnsD7tN38wua2YzA3rjMwT23uLrbaLrBLbVTV4wZNne/05.jpg

It's great to be back in the green zone and I hope to be able to build on that as I do feel I have quite a good grip on the league at the moment after a difficult start with unusual circumstances. I'm still a bit below what I expect to win over the long run but the season is still very early on and I only have 159 bets in so far. If anything, volume really is key to betting and being able to tell your actual performance. Anyway, I'm very much enjoying the process of watching the matches, handicapping the league and trying to beat these betting markets even after all these years and am looking forward already to the action next 7 days!

<hr>

<b>Previous Personal Results 2020-2021</b>

Week 05 Results 41 Bets | 23W-14L-04P |  Staked 09.880u | +2.590u Profit..
<a href="https://www.publish0x.com/costanza-sports-betting/week-4-results-16w-18l-5p-0604-units-loss-xejdjzd?a=4QbYrQ0dzq">Week 04 Results 39 Bets | 16W-18L-05P |  Staked 12.258u | -0.604u Loss..</a>
<a href="https://www.publish0x.com/costanza-sports-betting/week-3-results-19w-17l-8p-plus-2748-units-profit-xolyweq?a=4QbYrQ0dzq">Week 03 Results 44 Bets | 19W-17L-08P |  Staked 11.580u | +2.748u Profit</a>
<a href="https://www.publish0x.com/costanza-sports-betting/week-2-results-8w-11l-1p-1096-units-loss-xdrmezd?a=4QbYrQ0dzq">Week 02 Results 21 Bets | 08W-12L-01P |  Staked 05.972u | -1.096u Loss..</a>
<a href="https://www.publish0x.com/costanza-sports-betting/week-1-results-4w-10l-1p-2724-units-loss-xmdxyzy?a=4QbYrQ0dzq">Week 01 Results 15 Bets | 04W-10L-01P |  Staked 05.618u | -2.724u Loss..</a>


     Regular Season 2019-2020 Results
    159 Bets| 70W-71L-19P|45.308 Staked|+0.913u Loss|+2.01% ROI

<hr>

<blockquote>

<a href="https://images.hive.blog/DQmeLbKJdeTRT9z1vmiVqHDJ6apQeU8B7VsPni2fA1hMvwy/xxx256.jpg">Season 2019-2020 | 1406 Bets +2.48% ROI</a>
<a href="https://images.hive.blog/DQmP6hV3bWUDTF83GKqvXnGKT7xbMKeyBAbXuvKgMEPUk9i/image.png">Season 2018-2019 | 1090 Bets +2.47% ROI</a> 
<a href="https://images.hive.blog/DQme5BYgVwkeBUTSZsGpTMTAcyfcfLLwwrezFoZu2RHH5mZ/xxx255.jpg">Season 2017-2018 | 821 Bets +7.22% ROI</a>
</blockquote>

<center><i>On to next week!</i></center>

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