[BTC vs STEEM] 你想吃哪一道？ by deanliu

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crypto · @deanliu ·
$7.82
[BTC vs STEEM] 你想吃哪一道？
![](https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmPDTHrGVXiyHwKRmZ33VfE5EjDvWVcgxBhDutq35m94uT/image.png)
<sub>*source: onepagex*</sub>

昨天談[關於Crypto投資這檔事...](https://steemit.com/steemleo/@deanliu/crypto)，主要是談投資一些ICO的慘烈經驗。主流幣們，倒是沒那麼慘，雖然也算是哀鴻遍野，但總還存在，有些還是蠻穩的。

STEEM算不算主流幣呢？一兩年前也許算上一個，近來已經越來越沒有存在感了，市值都排到70幾去了，要是破百，那會是很嚴重的事了...

偶爾都會抱怨STEEM不爭氣，人家漲它當部長，人家跌它跟著跌~~~ 尤其是你看看這張對BTC的價格圖，時間從2018年5月的高點開始，幾乎算是一路溜滑梯下來的，尤其是最近更慘，跌破歷史低點！

![](https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQme9LqAbwYSeaWu8uhuRZqCi8Gh2WHXZUzgG5wH6XwNbrf/image.png)
<sub>*source: CMC*</sub>

那今天讓我們來好好想一下這裡面的原因。

#### *1. 基本籌碼面比較*

且不論總量了，總量已經反映在價格內了。要關注的是通脹率 (inflation)。Steem的年通脹是9.5% (其實可能是要更高的，我看過一些討論，來源是SBD造成的增發，但在此按下不表)。BTC呢？這裡有張圖可以看：

https://charts.bitcoin.com/btc/chart/inflation#5moc

大約是3.89%。自從2017年7月之後就降到4左右，然後持續下降。

這樣的通脹率代表每年STEEM至少應該對BTC跌價5-6%的，這是籌碼面造成的本質影響。不過，顯然這5-6%不足以解釋這種倍數下跌啊~~~~ 但還是需要了解一下的。

#### *2. BTC基本面*

我其實是早上看到這一篇文章後才想寫這個比較的：

[BTC - Some perspective...](https://steemit.com/bitcoin/@jrcornel/btc-some-perspective)

內容很簡單，就是比特幣10個月之內，就又要啟動礦工獎勵減半了！每個區塊的獎勵將從12.5變成6.25顆BTC。他認為這是對比特幣這段期間的大利多...

其實，說真的，比特幣的利多，就是這麼單純就可以了。簡單，有力量。因為它是老大！

#### *3.  STEEM基本面*

這部分，其實之前也說過不少了。例如[這一篇](https://steemit.com/sct/@deanliu/3sf5yp-sct)。這部分大家很熟悉了。但老實說，STEEM的利多，有點不為人知，有點不太確定，有點道理又似乎沒那麼肯定，從前，只要說Steem是Facebook killer，簡單有力，難怪會漲上去。現在，大家都知道不是了，Steem就是Steem而已。反而，還有些Steem killer不斷出來 (就夠小了還要殺我們，真是...)... 客觀想想，還真是對於抱著STEEM有點疑慮呢....

比較以上，似乎可以看到STEEM沒辦法跟著BTC漲的理由，也蠻有道理的。

不過，我個人是覺得，**跌深就是很好的利多**(雖然這句話有點悲情)。我們去想想，如果今天大家都是超級愛BTC，因為某某年會一顆價值100萬美元，所以在Steem上撸STEEM，然後去換BTC看來是好策略... BUT!!! 事情都有個極限的，如果今天變成 1 BTC = 10W STEEM，意思是你用 1顆BTC就可以在這裡換成小鯨魚，似乎也是不錯的，畢竟撸幣或是影響力能見度什麼的都會增加不少.... 如果你覺得不夠，那就想想 1 BTC = 20W 30W ... STEEM ...

不然，乾脆想想 1 BTC = 1M STEEM好了，那等BTC上百萬美元後，STEEM也是有一美元嘛~~~~ 也還是可以的，呵呵~~~~

算了，不想了。我繼續抱著STEEM，SCOT玩一玩，如果沒得玩了，再換一點BTC安心，慢慢往我半顆BTC的路上前進.... Orz... (真的，我持有BTC不到0.5啊~~~ >_<)
👍  , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , and 139 others
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vote details (203)
@kimxinfo · 
我....等BTC上百萬美元後，回來當大鯨...
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@deanliu · 
↑↑↑ 無意間洩漏自己握有不少BTC.... 哈哈哈哈~~~~
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@kimxinfo · 
鑽石恆久遠，一顆永流傳...
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@partiko · 
Thank you so much for participating in the Partiko Delegation Plan Round 1! We really appreciate your support! As part of the delegation benefits, we just gave you a 3.00% upvote! Together, let’s change the world!
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@lemooljiang ·
$0.29
趁早换成BTC安心！
👍  , ,
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@tumutanzi ·
$0.25
真是无语泪先流。
👍  , ,
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vote details (3)
@deanliu · 
无语泪先流
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@lemooljiang ·
$0.30
唉，大家都流伙！
👍  , , ,
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vote details (4)
@steemitboard · 
Congratulations @deanliu! You have completed the following achievement on the Steem blockchain and have been rewarded with new badge(s) :

<table><tr><td><img src="https://steemitimages.com/60x70/http://steemitboard.com/@deanliu/commented.png?201907100343"></td><td>You got more than 8500 replies. Your next target is to reach 8750 replies.</td></tr>
</table>

<sub>_You can view [your badges on your Steem Board](https://steemitboard.com/@deanliu) and compare to others on the [Steem Ranking](https://steemitboard.com/ranking/index.php?name=deanliu)_</sub>
<sub>_If you no longer want to receive notifications, reply to this comment with the word_ `STOP`</sub>



###### [Vote for @Steemitboard as a witness](https://v2.steemconnect.com/sign/account-witness-vote?witness=steemitboard&approve=1) to get one more award and increased upvotes!
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@windenchanter · 
说实话我总觉得steem没起色还是因为花钱的人不多，必须有有效的功能让人花钱。

Posted using [Partiko Android](https://partiko.app/referral/windenchanter)
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@deanliu · 
這個說法很有道理
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