Bitcoin doesn't need merchant adoption to be wildly successful by jrcornel

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· @jrcornel ·
$26.65
Bitcoin doesn't need merchant adoption to be wildly successful
# Bitcoin may not even need to become a global currency in order to go up significantly.

Naysayers lover to point how little bitcoin is used for payments.

They love to point that out and say bitcoin has already failed.

My response to that is two things:

- For one, bitcoin is basically just software, so whatever it can't do today it could in theory do someday due to upgrades/updates.

- Secondly, bitcoin doesn't have to necessarily become a massivly adopted currency to go up in price from current levels.

# In my opinion bitcoin's best use case is as a store of value.

Something akin to digital gold.

Gold is roughly an $8 trillion dollar market.

Bitcoin is a $72 billion dollar market.

If bitcoin were to capture just 10% of the gold market, you are talking about an $800 billion dollar market.

That is roughly 12x the current price.

That would equate to roughly a $48k price.

If it were to capture more like 25% of gold's market, that would be a $2 trillion dollar market.

That would be roughly 30x from current prices and equate to roughly $120k per coin.

And we are just talking about 1/4th of the gold market and with just being used as a global store of value!

https://i.postimg.cc/BvYQ3qJ7/bitcoin-is-new-gold.jpg

(Source: https://blockchain.us/is-bitcoin-the-new-gold/)

# Do you see the potential here?

The next time someone tells you that bitcoin has failed as a currency, you can just tell em that doesn't really change the fact bitcoin is likely going a lot higher.

I would actually prefer if they never change the bitcoin code and it becomes globally accepted as a store of value and another coin catches on as a form of payment...

I'm looking at you steem or SBD!

Now that would sure be nice wouldn't?! ;)

Stay informed my friend.

-Doc
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vote details (328)
@grintsch ·
$0.02
I would kindly disagree :-) and I'll explain why:

For Bitcoin to go up in value *sustainably* there will have to be constant demand for it. You could use monetary supply arguments saying "the price is proportional to the total transacted volume divided by the velocity". Now you'll say "Great, the velocity is super-low if people use it as a store of value", which of course is correct. But: the monetary supply argument only works in efficient markets with little speculation and manipulation.

However (there's gotta be a however), this will only be the case once Bitcoin is *actually used* as store of value *at scale*, like gold. In that case, it is likely to be the better gold, because it's easier to store, more liquid and - in case you can exchange it for something really useful in case of a crisis - more versatile. So for that argument, it would be great if you could use Bitcoin to buy stuff rather than just exchange it for fiat.

Anyway, the second argument is more important: Bitcoin's volatility is too high in order for it to be a reliable store of value. Even worse, its trading liquidity is so low and the markets so unregulated that the price is easy to manipulate and basically set to a level someone with a (larger) bit of money wants to set it to. This could be watched last December when a 1000 BTC market buy order caused the entire crypto market to go up 15(!)%.

In order for Bitcoin to become less volatile, we need:
- A steady demans
- A steady supply

Both of which can be created by Bitcoin being widely accepted in (e)Commerce. It's not the only way, but probably the "easiest".


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vote details (3)
@jrcornel ·
$1.42
Possibly. Though I think time solves a lot of those problems. If you look back to when we were first taken off the gold standard and gold started to be more widely held by retail, it wasn't stable at all. In fact the volatility was only slightly lower than what bitcoin has seen over the past decade. Given that, I think all you need is a bit of time before you start to see those advantages you mentioned vs. gold start to help bitcoin take 10% and then eventually 25% of the current gold market.
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vote details (11)
@grintsch ·
$0.02
Gold has the slight advantage over Bitcoin to be used in manufacturing and jewellery, though. And gold has been known by pretty much every person for ages. Sure, especially after getting detached from currency there was a lot of pressure on the market and a lot of of free speculation, but historically gold has been much less volatile. Time alone can't solve that, there's gotta be *some* fundamental change, and I would bet on commercial adoption rather than only financial products. If Bitcoin achieves wide-ranging popularity without being used for payments, I'd obviously be happy :-)

Posted using [Partiko Android](https://partiko.app/referral/grintsch)
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vote details (2)
@edicted ·
$0.28
The base value of Bitcoin has been consistently doubling since 2013. 


2013 | 2014 | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 
----|----|----|----|----|----|----
$100 | $200 | $400 | $800 | $1600 | $3200 | $6400 

This asset isn't volatile at all.  
It is extremely predictable. 

Buy at the baseline, sell when it's x10 higher than it should be.
Problem solved. 

https://steemit.com/speculation/@edicted/bitcoin-keeps-bouncing-off-moore-s-law-support
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vote details (4)
@jrcornel ·
$1.33
Hope it keeps working!
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vote details (9)
@alpayasteem ·
You really are like an economist, I think you were a math teacher, is that true?
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@jrcornel ·
$1.39
Nope. Closer to the first.
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vote details (10)
@alpayasteem ·
Ooh is very fun, I hope you can produce your own predictions without relying on other people's predictions, as someone who understands economic development, of course you read a lot and find out about it from many sources, so you deserve it, hopefully not makes a lot of people go bankrupt when making your prediction as the they main source ...Haha.
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@tts ·
To listen to the audio version of this article click on the play image.
[![](https://s18.postimg.org/51o0kpijd/play200x46.png)](http://ec2-52-72-169-104.compute-1.amazonaws.com/jrcornel__bitcoin-doesn-t-need-merchant-adoption-to-be-wildly-successful.mp3)
Brought to you by [@tts](https://steemit.com/tts/@tts/introduction). If you find it useful please consider upvoting this reply.
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@jrcornel ·
$1.36
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vote details (13)
@edicted · (edited)
In this new digital age where information is the new gold, Bitcoin will eventually vastly outperform that measly 8 trillion dollar market cap.

It's only going to take 7 years.
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@jrcornel ·
$1.26
That would be ok with me.
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vote details (8)
@newageinv ·
This has already started to happen as large money managers are providing allocations to the asset class as a way to store value and diversify their portfolios! Like gold, it will become somewhat commoditized which will reduce its volatility and attract more investors.

Posted using [Partiko iOS](https://partiko.app/referral/newageinv)
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@jrcornel ·
$1.24
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vote details (11)
@corndog54 ·
But more adoption would be a great thing 👍💰👍
👍  
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vote details (1)
@jrcornel ·
$1.49
Yes it would. Several avenues to higher prices. I like that!
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@steemitboard ·
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@jrcornel ·
$1.43
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vote details (9)
@blazing ·
Bitcoin did it alone in the past and it will do it again it is the value
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permlinkre-jrcornel-bitcoin-doesn-t-need-merchant-adoption-to-be-wildly-successful-20190401t132935947z
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@jrcornel ·
$1.40
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permlinkre-blazing-re-jrcornel-bitcoin-doesn-t-need-merchant-adoption-to-be-wildly-successful-20190401t182056197z
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vote details (9)