Something Doesn't Add Up About This Coronavirus by patriamreminisci

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· @patriamreminisci · (edited)
$9.00
Something Doesn't Add Up About This Coronavirus
![coronavirus.jpg](https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmfNNFAqZhs2y4LLRhyEssYjcWhPrGHwAERhAxgBHybmdW/coronavirus.jpg)

You know, I already wrote an article predicting China was [on track for an epidemic early in 2020](https://steemit.com/china/@patriamreminisci/bubonic-plague-in-beijing-how-bad-could-this-get-did-you-say-antibiotic-resistance). The only thing I got wrong was what the disease would be.

I haven't written about the outbreak of the Wuhan Coronavirus yet for a few reasons. For one, every day when I've set out to write an article based on the previous day's accumulation of sources, information comes out that renders my research outdated. For another, frankly, most of what I would say has already been said. Media sources in the West have, of course, latched onto the crisis because disasters sell papers, while China, just as predictably, has tried to downplay it because disasters tend to topple regimes. Conspiracy theorists and tabloids, of course, have zeroed in on nearly every single one of the elephants in the room (and there is quite a herd of them). 
For example, the virus broke out in Wuhan, the site of a lab dedicated to research on... you guessed it: SARS-like coronaviruses ([Cyranoski](https://www.nature.com/news/inside-the-chinese-lab-poised-to-study-world-s-most-dangerous-pathogens-1.21487)), and right here on Steemit, the blogger [Politicus](https://steemit.com/informationwar/@politicus/wuhan-coronavirus) pointed out numerous causes for suspicion on this score, including the proximity of the lab to the suspected outbreak site, and the fact that experts warned against this lab's construction. Other sources have commented on the timing, noting that the outbreak began less than a month after "Event 201," a scenario in global outbreak response by Johns Hopkins University, funded in a large part by the Pilbright Foundation, where the pathogen at the center of the simulation was, in fact, a (hypothetical at the time) previously unknown strain of Coronavirus. The simulation's end result, by the way, was a prediction of 65 million deaths. ([Center for Health Security](http://www.centerforhealthsecurity.org/newsroom/center-news/2020-01-17-Event201-recommendations.html)). 
*Xin Nian Kuai Le*, right?
The fact that this event was bankrolled by the Pilbright Institute, to whom Bill and Melinda Gates (known and outspoken advocates of population control) are major donors, was not lost on the tabloids either ([Infowars](https://www.intellihub.com/bill-and-melinda-gates-foundation-predicted-65-million-deaths-from-coronavirus-in-simulation-ran-3-months-ago/)), nor was the fact that the same foundation which funded this event, happens to own the patent (!?) on the Coronavirus ([Pilbright Institute](https://patents.justia.com/patent/10130701)), and is currently researching a vaccine ([Dunn](https://www.businessinsider.com/vaccines-for-wuhan-china-cornonavirus-moderna-inovio-cepi-2020-1)).
And finally, of course, Chinese social media (with the Party's blessing I would almost bet a year's salary) began circulating claims that the coronavirus "must be" an American weapon against China. What makes this ironic is that the poster's solution was to create a version of it that was tailored to "American genes" and "send it over." 

[![Annotation 2020-01-26 231830.jpg](https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmevm96NK8sPrd2ZJXtHBfPRazyWWSrcKn54ewW2crJRj5/Annotation%202020-01-26%20231830.jpg)](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VLp8CHeKQkI)*So, who wants the task of explaining to this mental midget that America is polyethnic, meaning there is no such thing as "American genes?"*

Frankly, these must be taken with a grain of salt, given their source, but it doesn't change the fact that this is, quite clearly, a crisis of catastrophic proportions. Information, misinformation, suspicion and rumor are flying so fast and furious that it's hard to sort them out for analysis. Yet as the situation begins to take shape (and it's a fearsome shape indeed), some pieces can be put together into a picture that is far grimmer than what we're being told.
The first thing I find odd about this outbreak is the timing, and not because of "Event 201," mentioned above. I first became aware of the outbreak shortly after landing in the States after [being compelled to leave Beijing](https://steemit.com/china/@patriamreminisci/on-the-12th-day-of-christmas) (ironically enough). I found it because ever since my [second entry](https://steemit.com/china/@patriamreminisci/happy-plaguesgiving-flea-son-s-greetings) about the *Yrisnia Pestis* (Bubonic Plague) scare in Inner Mongolia and Beijing at the end of 2019, I have made it a point to do a Google search every day for "plague, China" and "pneumonia, China," since "atypical pneumonia" is the diagnosis China used to cover up several cases of Plague. As a reader may recall, I predicted after that scare (and I'm not the only one) that China would ring in 2020 with a major respiratory plague. When I read a headline on 3 January about "mystery pneumonia" in Wuhan ([*BBC* Staff (2)](https://www.bbc.com/news/world-asia-china-50984025)), it stood out for this reason, but I didn't discover until later that the story actually began before that. I'd like to present some of these events as a timeline, for perspective.

## 31 December: 27 Confirmed Cases
Hong Kong, which was still reeling from months of protests, took emergency measures including restricting travel from the city of Wuhan ([Zuo et. al.](https://www.scmp.com/news/china/politics/article/3044050/mystery-illness-hits-chinas-wuhan-city-nearly-30-hospitalised)), which at that point was the only city where anyone had been infected. Two things are worth noting. The first is that Hong Kong took this measure WEEKS before any Mainland government entity took any containment measures at all (as I'll show later), and the second is that the outbreak, which began between 12 and 19 December ([Feder](https://www.insider.com/outbreak-in-wuhan-china-affects-59-people-panics-many-more)), was already more than 2 weeks old at this point . This, also, was the first day the Chinese government reported the outbreak, which, despite being two weeks old at this point, had not been identified until a day prior ([Belluz](https://www.vox.com/science-and-health/2020/1/6/21051589/wuhan-china-outbreak)) to the World Health Organization ([*BBS* staff (1)](https://www.bbc.com/news/world-asia-china-51202000)).

## 3 January: 44 Confirmed Cases
At this point, the total number of diagnosed cases was 44, with 11 considered "severe." Of course, even at this early stage, the article notes that the Chinese government had already lapsed into their tried and true "silence anyone who spreads information too fast" tactic, arresting anyone who spread "rumors (read 'information deemed inconvenient to the Party')" about the virus. Though, while containing information was at the top of their priority list, containing the virus itself was fourth or fifth at best, as I'll show later.

## 5 January: 44 Confirmed Cases (still)
The World Health Organization concluded that the virus was not spreading person-to-person ([Disease Outbreak News](https://www.who.int/csr/don/05-january-2020-pneumonia-of-unkown-cause-china/en/)). It is not clear how they came to this conclusion, but it would later be debunked.

## 7 January: 59 Confirmed Cases 
In an attempt to squelch the memory of the 2003 SARS outbreak, which was horribly mishandled by Beijing ([*Guardian* Staff](https://www.theguardian.com/world/2003/apr/09/sars.china)), the Chinese government took the time to issue a press conference to assure the world "it's not SARS ([Gan](https://www.cnn.com/2020/01/06/health/china-pneumonia-intl-hnk/index.html), [Agence-France Presse](https://www.cbsnews.com/news/china-pneumonia-mystery-illness-outbreak-warning-us-embassy-americans-today-2020-01-07/))."

## 9 January: 59 Confirmed Cases (still)
Two days after insisting they had ruled out SARS, the Chinese government announced that the illness is caused by a member of the cononavirus family, the same family of virus that caused SARS and MERS. Also, this is the first time anyone in the media mentioned the glaringly obvious reason for concern: namely, that the outbreak occurred immediately before the Chinese New Year, which is the largest annual Human migration on the planet. Health authorities admitted that they were not yet certain how the disease was transmitted, though they hearkened back to the WHO's statement (albeit with less certainty) saying Human-to-Human transmission "had not been confirmed yet ([*BBC* Staff (3)](https://www.bbc.com/news/world-asia-china-51047576))."

## 14 January: 60 Confirmed Cases
As predicted and so often warned of, Chinese tourist in Bangkok becomes the 60th confirmed case, and the 1st one outside of China ([Muramatsu](https://asia.nikkei.com/Spotlight/Society/China-new-virus-found-in-Thailand-as-Spring-Festival-travel-begins)).

## 15 January: 60 Confirmed Cases (still)
This is the first time China reported a death from the virus ([Feder](https://www.insider.com/outbreak-in-wuhan-china-affects-59-people-panics-many-more)).

## 17 January: 62 Confirmed Cases
This is the point where there first came to be a marked distinction between the number of confirmed cases according to the Chinese Ministry of Health, and the number of estimated cases according to world authorities. According to [Wikipedia](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2019%E2%80%9320_Wuhan_coronavirus_outbreak) (as of 26 January 2020):

> On 17 January, an Imperial College group in the UK published a Fermi estimate that there had been 1,723 cases (95% confidence interval, 427–4,471) with onset of symptoms by 12 January 2020. This was based on the pattern of the initial spread to Thailand and Japan. They also concluded that "self-sustaining human-to-human transmission should not be ruled out ([*BBC* Staff (3)](https://www.bbc.com/news/health-51148303), [Natsuko et. al.](https://www.imperial.ac.uk/media/imperial-college/medicine/sph/ide/gida-fellowships/2019-nCoV-outbreak-report-17-01-2020.pdf))", which has since been confirmed as happening. As further cases came to light, they later recalculated that "4,000 cases of 2019-nCoV in Wuhan City... had onset of symptoms by 18 January 2020". A Hong Kong University group has reached a similar conclusion as the earlier study, with additional detail on transport within China ([Leung et. al.](https://sph.hku.hk/en/news/press-releases/2020/nowcasting-and-forecasting-the-wuhan-2019-ncov-outbreak)).

## 18 January: 121 Confirmed Cases
This is the point where the spread began to accelerate, as it has thus far continued to do, as the graph below (charted by [Wikipedia](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2019%E2%80%9320_Wuhan_coronavirus_outbreak) based on reports cited there) shows.
[![Annotation 2020-01-26 184103.jpg](https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmQJiwGAks6D4tFiLFbxN2hSvFvQVagnu4zVeGWM5HAzuX/Annotation%202020-01-26%20184103.jpg)](http://www.nhc.gov.cn/xcs/yqtb/202001/3882fdcdbfdc4b4fa4e3a829b62d518e.shtml) 

## 21 January: 440 Confirmed Cases
China finally adopts containment measures, and those measures are to seal off the entire city of Wuhan, locking 11 million people inside and basically leaving them to die. ([Amos](https://www.bbc.com/news/world-asia-china-51218014)). The news comes on the same day that human-to-human transmission is finally confirmed, rendering containment almost a moot point ([Watanabe](https://asia.nikkei.com/Spotlight/Virus-outbreak/China-reports-fourth-virus-death-and-confirms-human-transmission)). 
And that brings us to...

## 26 Jan, 2020: 2,790 Confirmed Cases 
2,744 confirmed cases in 30 provinces in China plus another 8 in Hong Kong and 5 in Macau (461 severe cases, 80 deaths, 51 recoveries; it's unclear from the translation whether the death and recovery numbers are global, or only within China), with 5794 suspected cases.
37 confirmed cases outside of China (4 in Taiwan, 7 in Thailand, 3 in Japan, 3 in South Korea, 3 in the United States, 2 in Vietnam, 4 in Singapore, 3 in Malaysia, 1 in Nepal, 3 in France, and 4 in Australia).
As this data is provided by a Chinese source and the Chinese government tends to alter data it finds inconvenient, I've included a screenshot of the Chinese National Health Commission's report at the time of this publication, in both Chinese and English.
![Annotation 2020-01-26 184727.jpg](https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmWUoCdRaNKCwT1N3xZyaBTYHGhzJ2M5MjjqiFRTNXQg7t/Annotation%202020-01-26%20184727.jpg)
![Annotation 2020-01-26 184827.jpg](https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmRZPK86WQJTjazyfbZQroLQPYNbPi5Z53tiJco1DDH4T8/Annotation%202020-01-26%20184827.jpg)

By the way, to put this in perspective, the outbreak was recognized less than a month ago and the count has already risen to nearly 3,000. The [2002-03 SARS outbreak](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Severe_acute_respiratory_syndrome) lasted from November 2002 until July 2003, and affected 8273 over the span of nearly a year. Comparing the [rate of spread of SARS](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Timeline_of_the_SARS_outbreak) to the rate of spread of 2019nCoV, it's plain that this strain is far more contagious. The only good news is that the new coronavirus has a far lower fatality rate...
...so far.
But look again.
80 fatalities, 51 recoveries. That means that at the present, the number of people who have died from the virus exceeds the number who have recovered from it. And the other nearly 3,000 people who have contracted it?
Well, they're still lying in hospital beds puking up blood as their lungs cover with pustules and the doctors inject random drugs into their system hoping one will actually do something, and their families are waiting to see which of those two categories they'll eventually fall into. It's like *Saw*: "live or die," except that you don't get to make the choice.

Of course, we have been repeatedly assured by Beijing authorities that the disease is "preventable and controllable ([*BBC* Staff (4)](https://www.bbc.com/news/health-51168333))."
Frankly though, if the Chinese government told me water is wet, I'd have to go jump in a pool to be sure.

## It's Almost Assuredly Worse Than We're Being Told
First of all, there are all the reports from inside of China.
- A 65-year-old woman develops symptoms identical to coronavirus, dies swiftly, and the family is pressured (by doctors who privately tell the family that the woman probably had the virus) to cremate the body without testing ([Fifield](https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/as-families-tell-of-pneumonia-like-deaths-in-wuhan-some-wonder-if-china-virus-count-is-too-low/2020/01/22/0f50b1e6-3d07-11ea-971f-4ce4f94494b4_story.html), [Kuo & Yang](https://www.theguardian.com/world/2020/jan/21/coronavirus-chinese-hospitals-not-testing-patients-say-relatives))
- A 53-year-old man dies of coronavirus-like symptoms and a death certificate is issued with no test that reads "severe pneumonia" as the cause of death ([Fan](https://www.wsj.com/articles/relatives-wonder-whether-pneumonia-deaths-were-tied-to-coronavirus-11579915630))
- A Chinese woman in hazmat gear who *claims* to be a medical professional in Wuhan named Jin Hui (I'll acknowledge that this has not been verified at time of post), claims 90,000 people have been infected ([Italiano](https://nypost.com/2020/01/26/coronavirus-whistleblower-nurse-says-china-has-90000-sick/)).

Then, there is the fact that Dr. Eric Feigl-Ding, a Harvard epidemologist, has pointed out the contagion level of the Coronavirus is higher than SARS, or even Spanish Flu ([Satherley](https://www.newshub.co.nz/home/world/2020/01/harvard-expert-calls-coronavirus-outbreak-thermonuclear-pandemic-level-bad.html)).
[![](https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmUSC8FbockK1MGZkyYRGzyUGvpNHBZYqzvJUpDijZXxzH/image.png)](https://twitter.com/DrEricDing/status/1220919589623803905?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw%7Ctwcamp%5Etweetembed%7Ctwterm%5E1220919589623803905&ref_url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.newshub.co.nz%2Fhome%2Fworld%2F2020%2F01%2Fharvard-expert-calls-coronavirus-outbreak-thermonuclear-pandemic-level-bad.html)
This high rate of transmission, coupled with the fact that it can be transmitted by someone who has not even shown symptoms yet ([Zheng](https://www.scmp.com/news/china/society/article/3047701/coronavirus-contagious-even-incubation-stage-chinas-health)) makes isolating infected individuals virtually impossible. You can catch it from someone who doesn't know they have it, and transmit it to three or four more people before you know you have it.
Yeah, remember all those assurances from the Chinese government that it didn't spread from Human to Human?

And of course, there is SerpentZSA and LaoWhy's [Youtube video](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lk5XkhUKMDM&feature=youtu.be&fbclid=IwAR1S2opIMiOphHwQKI2Koirm_4mE9VgpGpsIPpB2zrvmyVtBGRCBhuoJq58), which, frankly, goes into far more detail than the 60K character limit of a Steemit article will allow me to even attempt to match.

But frankly, the main thing that convinced me that this virus is far worse than Beijing admits, was simply this.
***The fact that Beijing is admitting they have a problem.***
It was the blogger [Dandesign86](https://steemit.com/virus/@dandesign86/coronavirus-how-worried-should-we-be#@dandesign86/q4mgf7), right here on Steemit, who pointed out the one thing that every China expat knew but didn't want to say.

> He said, “yes, but there is more, now they are canceling all large scale new year celebrations in Beijing." The country has run out of face masks for protection and therefore the government has asked the people working in this industry to go back from holiday and start up production again. It might seem weird that I reacted so much to this as opposed to news that Wuhan got travel restrictions. The reason why it made me scared is because, nothing is bigger than the New Year in China, if they cancel these new year events in the countries capital, I get a feeling that the virus is much more dangerous than we might know.

China's knee-jerk reaction to *everything* is deny, deny, deny, cover-up, cover-up, cover-up. This was shown in the 2003 SARS outbreak, as well as their earlier responses to this disaster. It's all about saving "face." The Golden Rule is NEVER admit that anything is wrong. The Party must always, always, *ALWAYS* appear to have everything under control.
And they are in full-scale panic mode right now.

...This is not *going to get* out of hand.
This is not *getting* out of hand.
This has already gotten WAY out of hand!
And the Chinese Party-State is running out of ways to hide that.

On one hand, I think I got out of China just in time. On the other, I wonder if it matters at this point. A global spread of this thing is virtually a foregone conclusion at this point, and we're still not sure what the lethality rate is yet because most people who have gotten it are still being treated for it, but as I said, so far the lethality rate is higher than the recovery rate. Just remember as you lie dying, "it came from China."

And indeed, God help us all.

## Works Cited
Amos, Owen. "Coronavirus: How Do You Quarantine a City- And Does it Work?" *BBC*. 23 Jan, 2020. Web. 26 Jan, 2020. https://www.bbc.com/news/world-asia-china-51218014

Agence-France Presse. "Americans in China Warned Over Spreading Mystery Illness." *CBS News*. 7 Na, 2020. Web. 26 Jan, 2020. https://www.cbsnews.com/news/china-pneumonia-mystery-illness-outbreak-warning-us-embassy-americans-today-2020-01-07/

*BBC* Staff (1). "Coronavirus: China advises against travel to Wuhan as deaths surge." *BBC*. 22 Jan, 2020. Web. 26 Jan, 2020. https://www.bbc.com/news/world-asia-china-51202000

*BBC* Staff (2). "China Pneumonia Outbreak: Mystery Virus Probed in Wuhan." *BBC*. 3 Jan, 2020. Web. 26 Jan, 2020. https://www.bbc.com/news/world-asia-china-50984025

*BBC* Staff (3). "Wuhan Pneumonia Outbreak: Mystery Illness 'Caused by Coronavirus'." *BBC*. 9 Jan, 2020. Web. 26 Jan, 2020. https://www.bbc.com/news/world-asia-china-51047576

*BBC* Staff (4). "New Coronavirus 'Preventable and Controllable', China Says." *BBC* 19 Jan, 2020. Web. 27 Jan, 2020. https://www.bbc.com/news/health-51168333

Belluz, Julia. "There’s a New, Mysterious Pneumonia Outbreak in China." *Vox*. 7 Jan, 2020. Web. 26 Jan, 2020. https://www.vox.com/science-and-health/2020/1/6/21051589/wuhan-china-outbreak

Center for Health Security. "The Johns Hopkins Center for Health Security, World Economic Forum, and Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation Call for Public-Private Cooperation for Pandemic Preparedness and Response." Bloomberg School of Public Health. Johns Hopkins University. http://www.centerforhealthsecurity.org/newsroom/center-news/2020-01-17-Event201-recommendations.html , Web. 24 Jan, 2020.

Cyranoski, David. "Inside the Chinese Lab Poised to Study World's Most Dangerous Pathogens." *Nature.com*. 22 Feb, 2017. Web. 24 Jan, 2020. https://www.nature.com/news/inside-the-chinese-lab-poised-to-study-world-s-most-dangerous-pathogens-1.21487

Disease Outbreak News. "Pneumonia of Unknown Cause – China." *World Health Organization*. 5 Jan, 2020. Web. 26 Jan, 2020. https://www.who.int/csr/don/05-january-2020-pneumonia-of-unkown-cause-china/en/

Dunn, Andrew. "A Coalition Backed by Bill Gates is Funding Biotechs that are Scrambling to Develop Vaccines for the deadly Wuhan Coronavirus." *Business Insider*. 24 Jan, 2020. Web. 24 Jan, 2020. https://www.businessinsider.com/vaccines-for-wuhan-china-cornonavirus-moderna-inovio-cepi-2020-1

Fan Wenxin. "Relatives Wonder Why Pneumonia Deaths Not in Coronavirus Tally." *The Wall Street Journal*. 24 Jan, 2020. Web. 26 Jan, 2020. https://www.wsj.com/articles/relatives-wonder-whether-pneumonia-deaths-were-tied-to-coronavirus-11579915630

Feder, Shira. "1 Person has Died From a Mysterious Pneumonia Outbreak in China." 15 Jan, 2020. Web. 26 Jan, 2020. https://www.insider.com/outbreak-in-wuhan-china-affects-59-people-panics-many-more

Fifield, Anna. "As Families Tell of Pneumonia-Like Deaths in Wuhan, Some Wonder if China Virus Count is Too Low." *The Washington Post*. 22 Jan, 2020. Web. 26 Jan, 2020. https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/as-families-tell-of-pneumonia-like-deaths-in-wuhan-some-wonder-if-china-virus-count-is-too-low/2020/01/22/0f50b1e6-3d07-11ea-971f-4ce4f94494b4_story.html

Galagher, David. "New Chinese Virus 'Will Have Infected Hundreds'." *BBC*. 18 Jan, 2020. Web. 26 Jan, 2020. https://www.bbc.com/news/health-51148303

Gan, Nectar. "A Mysterious Virus is Making China (and the Rest of Asia) Nervous. It's not SARS, So What Is It?" *CNN*. 7 Jan, 2020. Web. 26 Jan, 2020. https://www.cnn.com/2020/01/06/health/china-pneumonia-intl-hnk/index.html

*Guardian* Staff. "China Accused of Sars Cover-Up." *The Guardian*. 9 Apr, 2003. Web. 26 Jan, 2020. https://www.theguardian.com/world/2003/apr/09/sars.china

Infowars. "Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation, Others, Predicted 65 Million Deaths from Coronavirus in Simulation Ran 3 Months ago." *Intellihub*. 23 Jan, 2020. Web. 24 Jan, 2020. https://www.intellihub.com/bill-and-melinda-gates-foundation-predicted-65-million-deaths-from-coronavirus-in-simulation-ran-3-months-ago/

Italiano, Laura. "Coronavirus ‘Whistleblower’ Nurse Says China Has 90,000 Sick." *New York Post*. 26 Jan, 2020. Web. 26 Jan, 2020. https://nypost.com/2020/01/26/coronavirus-whistleblower-nurse-says-china-has-90000-sick/

Kuo, Lily & Yang, Lillian. "Coronavirus: Chinese Hospitals not Testing Patients, Say Relatives." *The Guardian*. 21 Jan, 2020. Web. 26 Jan, 2020. https://www.theguardian.com/world/2020/jan/21/coronavirus-chinese-hospitals-not-testing-patients-say-relatives

Leung, Kathy; Wu, Joseph T; Leung, Gabriel M. "HKUMed WHO Collaborating Centre for Infectious Disease Epidemiology and Control Releases Real-time nowcast on the Likely Extent of the Wuhan Coronavirus Outbreak, Domestic and International Spread with the Forecast for Chunyun." Honk Kong University School of Medicine. 21 Jan, 2020. Web. 26 Jan, 2020. https://sph.hku.hk/en/news/press-releases/2020/nowcasting-and-forecasting-the-wuhan-2019-ncov-outbreak

Natsuko Imai; Dorigatti, Ilaria ; Cori, Anne ; Riley, Steven ; Ferguson, Neil M. "Estimating the Potential Total Number of Novel Coronavirus Cases in Wuhan City, China." Imperial College London. 17 Jan, 2020. Web. 26 Jan, 2020. https://www.imperial.ac.uk/media/imperial-college/medicine/sph/ide/gida-fellowships/2019-nCoV-outbreak-report-17-01-2020.pdf

Muramatsu, Yohei. "China New Virus Found in Thailand as Spring Festival Travel Begins." *Nikkei Asian Review*. 14 Jan, 2020. Web. 26 Jan, 2020. https://asia.nikkei.com/Spotlight/Society/China-new-virus-found-in-Thailand-as-Spring-Festival-travel-begins

Pilbright Institute. "Coronavirus." Justia Patents. 23 July, 2015. Web. 24 Jan, 2020. https://patents.justia.com/patent/10130701

Politicus. "Wuhan Coronavirus". *Steemit*. 24 Jan, 2020. Web. 24 Jan, 2020. https://steemit.com/informationwar/@politicus/wuhan-coronavirus

Slatherley, Joe. "Harvard Expert Calls Coronavirus Outbreak 'Thermonuclear Pandemic Level Bad'." *Newzhub*. 26 Jan, 2020. Web. 27 Jan, 2020. https://www.newshub.co.nz/home/world/2020/01/harvard-expert-calls-coronavirus-outbreak-thermonuclear-pandemic-level-bad.html

Watanabe, Shin. "China Reports Fourth Virus Death and Confirms Human Transmission." *Nikkei Asian Review*. 21 Jan, 2020. Web. 26 Jan, 2020. https://asia.nikkei.com/Spotlight/Virus-outbreak/China-reports-fourth-virus-death-and-confirms-human-transmission

Zheng, William. "Coronavirus Contagious Even in Incubation Stage, China’s Health Authority Says." *South China Morning Post*. 26 Jan, 2020. Web. 27 Jan, 2020. https://www.scmp.com/news/china/society/article/3047701/coronavirus-contagious-even-incubation-stage-chinas-health

Zuo, Mandy; Cheng, Lilian; Yan, Alice; Yau, Cannix. "Hong Kong Takes Emergency Measures as Mystery ‘Pneumonia’ Infects Dozens in China’s Wuhan city." *South China Morning Post*. 31 Dec, 2019. Web. 26 Jan, 2020. https://www.scmp.com/news/china/politics/article/3044050/mystery-illness-hits-chinas-wuhan-city-nearly-30-hospitalised
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@holoz0r ·
Well written! 

Excellent food for thought, gathering multiple sources, presenting them, and allowing the reader to come to their own conclusions is a rare sight on Steem. Thank you. 
👍  
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@patriamreminisci ·
$0.27
Why thank you.
I'll have to admit, I do have my own conclusion and I didn't make any secret of what that conclusion was, but I do try to gather as many sources as possible. It's the ex-professor in me that tries to do everything at least quasi-academically.
👍  
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@holoz0r ·
It is a haunting conclusion (I can read, and interpet things!) and it will be interesting to see what happens in the weeks, and months to come. 

I'm based in Australia, so our geographical proximity (and high levels of multi-culturialism, fairly active travelling commuinity, and reliance on imported goods) - will be ... interesting. 

We have a high population of Asian University Students (as our Universities tend to be the most appealing of the region for some reason) - and they'll be starting their studies up again imminintely. 

Just now there was an article I saw about a university student in Sydney contracting the virus: 

https://www.abc.net.au/news/2020-01-27/coronavirus-schools-urge-students-to-be-checked/11902702

Given the generally low-socio-economic status of University students in the country, and our... (good, albeit neo-liberalist inspired health care) - it will be interesting to see how things change and how Australia's health system handles this as people return to schools and universities, which are normally breeding grounds for any sort of viral or bacterial infections. 
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@roleerob ·
"65 __*million*__!"  Wow ...  And we wonder why the U.S. stock market has tanked so significantly over the last couple of days ...  We'll likely see soon enough how serious this is.  Obviously for ...

> *"... 80 fatalities, 51 recoveries. ..."*

... 80 people, it is deadly serious.

Another well researched and written post @patriamreminisci.  I always enjoy reading what you have been inspired to write.  Thank you for your efforts.

As you rightly point out, it appears you may have gotten out of China just in time.  Divine intervention!

---

P.S.  As I have done before, I will see what I can do to bring "more eyes" to your work.
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@patriamreminisci ·
Many thanks for that.

As for finding out how serious it is, we'll know more in a few weeks. Right now, most people who have it, are still sick with it: neither recovered nor dead. And yet, I can't help but notice: This is the year when China's population of senior citizens was finally predicted to drag their economic growth down by more than any other factor except the Trade War. And suddenly, a virus breaks out, under suspicious circumstances, that spreads like hell, doesn't seem to kill anyone except senior citizens.
I'm not quite accusing yet (the implication I'm flirting with is sinister even by Chinese standards so I'd want more than just coincidence before I tried to actually build a case for it), but that's awfully convenient timing.
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@roleerob ·
Yes @patriamreminisci, interesting speculation ...

> *"... doesn't seem to kill anyone except senior citizens."*

... but we might agree that the elderly ...

> *"... drag their economic growth down ..."*

... is a much larger problem than just in China.  Much of the Western world is aging steadily, with the steadily declining birth rates over decades.  Leaving the younger generation to feel unduly (and "unfairly"?) "stressed" by the requirement to pay for all of the social contracts already in place to care for their elderly.

My prediction?  It will be a much bigger problem than just China in future deliberations about what to do with all of "the useless eaters, with a duty to die ..." (an old quote from a former governor of Colorado ...).

We'll likely all find out soon enough.
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@livinguktaiwan ·
Just leaving a comment first, I'm going to read this tomorrow, which I assume by then, things will have changed overnight.

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@livinguktaiwan ·
@tipu curate
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@tipu ·
<a href="https://tipu.online/curator?livinguktaiwan" target="_blank">Upvoted &#128076;</a> (Mana: 5/15 - <a href="https://steemit.com/steem/@tipu/tipu-curate-project-update-recharging-curation-mana" target="_blank">need recharge</a>?)
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@ganjafarmer ·
Insane your detail. Yeah I don't have access to this information until now. Thanks. 

So how did you come to the conclusion that China is lieing?

Oh wait that's what they do. Besides harvesting organs and making sure the party media is locked down.

Following votes shared and awesome!!!
👍  
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@patriamreminisci ·
Glad to help. And good catch, by the way, finding out about the other suspected cases in the U.S. You learned of those almost a full day ahead of me.
👍  
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vote details (1)
@ganjafarmer ·
Yeah I'm pretty good at looking for things. 

One day I'll have internet on my laptop and able to compile all the info. Being on my phone it's not easy to share this.
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@creativetruth ·
And all this right before the Lunar New Year. The year of the Rat. And now the disease continues to spread. Coincidence?

I know, my statement has nothing to do with research or evidence.

Thank you for your careful work and notes.
👍  
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vote details (1)
@patriamreminisci ·
$0.26
It's funny you say that, because after the Bubonic Plague scare back in November-December, there was a Weibo Post that said something similar.

> "Bird flu in the year of the rooster... swine fever in the year of the pig... Next year is the year of the rat...the plague is coming."
👍  
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@zekepickleman ·
Wow what a great perspective and assemble of information.  It is hard to believe what is being written as it seems every organization has something to gain or lose on this.  Seeing your personal opinion on this with no lobbying money in your pocket is powerful.

Another great expose on STEEM!
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@discovery-it ·
<div class="pull-left">https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmTAn3c753LR7bHCLPo96g9UvRMaPFwaMYn8VQZa85xczC/discovery_logo_colore%20-%20Copia.png</div><br>

Questo post è stato condiviso e votato all'interno del discord del team curatori di <a href="https://discord.gg/cMMp943"> discovery-it</a>.
This post was shared and voted inside the discord by the curators  team of  <a href="https://discord.gg/cMMp943"> discovery-it</a><hr>
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@squirrelbait ·
Excellent post. Well done my friend! Reposting for more eyes.
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@patriamreminisci ·
Many thanks!
👍  
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@squirrelbait ·
I'm going to watch the video by Serpentza tonight.
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@c-squared ·
c-squared-comment
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@jalentakesphotos ·
These are scary times. Governments all over the world sell their people for the elites. This makes me so angry.
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@theluvbug ·
<center>

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@innerblocks ·
<center>***Thanks for sharing your experience with us***!
<img src="https://i.postimg.cc/P5nkXgK2/Logo2-300.png" alt="TIBLogo" style="border:none;" /></center>
###### You have been curated on behalf of **Inner Blocks**: a community encouraging first hand content, with each individual living their best life, and being responsible for their own well being. #innerblocks Check it out at @innerblocks for the latest information and community updates, or to show your support via delegation.
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@livinguktaiwan ·
Thanks for this @patriamreminisci, it's a great summary of the development of events. The issue, of course, started much earlier and many outside of China, particularly Hong Kong knew about it, and were very worried about it becoming SARS2.0. Those who know China well enough, and there is probably no one better than Hong Kong, know how things work in China, and how information is disseminated.  The fact that confirmed cases jumps more than 10 fold within a week just shows that they are probably playing catch up in releasing the data till it gets to the current figures.

Also, expect to see an increase in cases from Hong Kong.  They have just announced all High Speed rail from China will stop in two days time.  Beggars belief why they need to wait two days to protect themselves.  
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@silvergrifin007 ·
Currently, South Korea is worried that the Chinese corona virus may enter. Can the corona virus change China like the Black Death?
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@abitcoinskeptic ·
I live im south Korea, already at least 4 confirmed cases. The goverent is currently telling people not to call it Wuham virus because that may make chinese people sad.

> Frankly though, if the Chinese government told me water is wet, I'd have to go jump in a pool to be sure.

If the Chinese government tells you it's drinking water you better drink it or you will disappear...
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@earthcustodians ·
here is another piece of data - thank you for your summary

Health experts issued an ominous warning about a coronavirus pandemic 3 months ago. The virus in their simulation killed 65 million people. Jan 23, 2020, (BUSINESS INSIDER)
👍  
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vote details (1)
@valued-customer ·
You do great work sourcing and citing, and I appreciate it greatly.

I have a question regarding dates.  You point out the outbreak started the week of Dec. 12 - 19.  I have read conflicting information regarding the Event 201 simulation, with some statements that it ended in Dec.  If that information is correct, the actual pandemic followed not shortly after the simulation, but immediately.  If that is true, it's chilling indeed.  Given Johns Hopkins criminal history, I find the odds far too slim that the simulation and the actual eruption aren't correlated in fact, as well as time.

Thanks!
👍  
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@patriamreminisci ·
I'll admit, I was sorting through so much conflicting data when trying to research this that the possibility that I got something wrong is rather high. The dates I listed were based on the "official story," which even the Chinese Government admitted was only a guess (never mind the fact that I trust the CPC even less than most governments in the first place).

These dates have since then been called into question, and so has the idea that it began near the seafood market. [The Lancet](https://www.thelancet.com/action/showPdf?pii=S0140-6736%2820%2930183-5) published a study showing that the first infection was on 1 December, and of the first four patients infected, 3 had no connection to the market in question. This, along with the timing of Event 201, and the fact that this suspicious biotech lab owned by RLWS is so near to the same area, forms a chilling trio of facts indeed.
And it's funny you mention Johns Hopkins' history, because how convenient that they are the ones with a [ready-made online tracker](https://gisanddata.maps.arcgis.com/apps/opsdashboard/index.html#/bda7594740fd40299423467b48e9ecf6) to keep tabs on the progress of the virus.
👍  
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@valued-customer ·
Suspiciously convenient indeed!  Who better than the executioners to reckon the number of their victims?  Still, I shall prefer the sound evidence and data you and other reliable reporters provide to my rank speculations.  Your personal familiarity with China and it's damnable corruption and incapability to undertake reasonable quality standards strongly informs my understanding of the present threats from that vector.  The old saw about ascribing to malevolence what is most likely incompetence seems hardly to matter in China.  Either way the results are today existentially consequential.
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