昨天,小蜜蜂分析了BTC走势的乐观趋势,但是也不敢说BTC就会大涨。文章发完,BTC就大涨了一波,但是很快就回调了。今天上午,BTC再次突破9900刀,但是再一次止步10000刀。 --- #纠结的观点 目前,对于BTC走势存在两种极端的观点: K神:“BTC周线突破 有望上攻大周期压制”。他的理由是周线的上涨有所突破。 ![image.png](https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmcW53DXxzCo97Q4XpTP4kwU9XW9jY4pK8NVNXa79qYFb5/image.png) 但是“有望”二字,我们可以感觉到BTC突破10000刀的概率,不会低于50%,但也不会特别高。 cointelegraph某文章则认为,BTC会回调。他的主要原因是,BTC在5月尝经3次试图突破10000刀,但都没有成功。 ![image.png](https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmaVmZKwLKyLTAoJ3wv8X2xXSxqT8ZrV2t68yArKe5gSVq/image.png) --- # 纠结的股价 而今天是周一,股市经历了周六周日的休息,先后开盘。虽然币价与股市并没有高度的相关性,但是币价仍然是需要观察一下股价的脸色。 现在这个时间,A股已经收盘了,先来看一下A股的表现。 开盘2872.52,收2875.42,并且上影线更长,前2个交易日是下跌,感觉上涨的力量更强一些。虽然上证指数几乎没变,但是深证成指却是在下跌,不过下跌的幅度也并不大。 根据英为财经半小时以前发布的消息:“美股盘前交易显示,道指期货涨幅扩大至约700点,纳指和标普500指数期货也涨超2%。波音、石油股大涨”。根据盘前交易情况来看,美股开盘以后,大概率会上涨。事实上,在本文写作的过程中,美股已经开盘了,并且美股三大指数也确实是在上涨。 虽然A股和美股在本周都比较乐观。但是,深交所上线的区块链行业ETF产品——区块链50指数在今天却下跌了2.16%。 另外,我们熟悉的矿机公司嘉楠的股价虽然盘前交易涨幅不低,但是开盘以后的表现却让人大失所望。截图时间是北京时间2020年5月18日21:26,嘉楠科技股价下跌26.47%。 ![image.png](https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmemPjt85RR1RM9HW1uhuoBnurwMLK8brNj3Ld4sRPuqmj/image.png) 所以,股价的表现对BTC的支撑也是非常之纠结。一方面,股价主要是上涨趋势,但另一方面,区块链股却是下跌。 --- # 纠结的BTC 近期的BTC表现得非常纠结。一方面,因为减半的影响,大佬们在保护着BTC不让它下跌,但另一方面,上方的阻力位又很难突破。 我的观点 小蜜蜂相对比较乐观,个人感觉上涨的可能更大一些。 第一,因为如果一直这样震荡下去,最后很可能的结果是跌,因为投资者是来赚钱的,不是来实现理想的,没有太多精力在这个位置上来回震荡。而减半后相对更稀缺的BTC是币圈的共识,所以大佬们不会希望看见BTC下跌。 第二,BTC的现阶段的阻力确实是很强,的确未突破阻力。但是第一次高点是在减半以前,并且当时最高点已经突破了10000刀。减半以后只有2次高点,一次是周五、一次是周一,围绕着周六周日,而周六周日股市不开盘,所以币价上涨可能比较克制。当然这也没有什么特别充分的理据。但是,低点的表现却非常有说服力,我们看看这个BTC的低点的上升趋势,是非常明显的,这个是很有说服力的。 ![image.png](https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmfEeX3dPbdwAiXLEEWP1FRmETtVP5befMSiNunru3AKom/image.png) 第三,深证区块链50确实下跌了,然而深证成指都是下跌的。这不能代表全世界对BTC的看法。 第四,嘉楠科技下跌,是因为减半后BTC挖矿收益大减,但这不意味着BTC的价格会大减。 --- # 美股:反312的行情 美股的上涨趋势其实是比较明显的。 目前(2020-5-18 21:48): ![image.png](https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmausPNSpUe9vGxDXZ1wksMA1ZX6zKFjvEhgZQTgTanDBo/image.png) 美股的这个走势,和312恰好相反,而且三个股指表现一样。312当天,三大股指开盘价越低于上一个交易日的收益价,股价断崖式下跌。而在今天,美股三大指数出现了跳空,开盘价远高于上一交易日。 312当天,我们知道BTC随美股跌水而跳水。今天的BTC即使没有杰出的表现,但显然形势是比较乐观的。 所以,通过以上分析,小蜜蜂认为,BTC虽然比较纠结,但是利好大于利空。尤其是美股今日开盘的跳空上涨,会给投资者更大的信心,给庄家一个拉盘的好理由! ![Uploading image #NaN...]()
post_id | 86,047,202 |
---|---|
author | tvb |
permlink | 312-btc |
category | hive-180932 |
json_metadata | {"tags":["cn","cn-reader","cn-curation","whalepower","steemleo","blockchain","crypto-currency","bitcoin-quotes","investment","invest-in","a-share","us-stock","steem2hive","palnet","zzan","dblog","diamondtoken","marlians","neoxian","lassecash","upfundme","actnearn"],"image":["https:\/\/cdn.steemitimages.com\/DQmSosELMWkoGfrJrjkCtQnxEA8tsy7csvf5aaEMm4hgrEE\/222.jpg"],"app":"steemcoinpan\/0.1","format":"markdown"} |
created | 2020-05-18 15:58:48 |
last_update | 2020-05-18 15:58:48 |
depth | 0 |
children | 0 |
net_rshares | 2,389,739,256,896 |
last_payout | 2020-05-25 15:58:48 |
cashout_time | 1969-12-31 23:59:59 |
total_payout_value | 0.404 SBD |
curator_payout_value | 0.374 SBD |
pending_payout_value | 0.000 SBD |
promoted | 0.000 SBD |
body_length | 2,114 |
author_reputation | 35,663,357,100,120 |
root_title | 美股走出反312的行情、能否改变BTC的纠结? |
beneficiaries | [] |
max_accepted_payout | 1,000,000.000 SBD |
percent_steem_dollars | 10,000 |
author_curate_reward | "" |
voter | weight | wgt% | rshares | pct | time |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
mangou007 | 0 | 6,659,287,425 | 4.36% | ||
lemooljiang | 0 | 458,895,998,477 | 68% | ||
ace108 | 0 | 175,766,239,626 | 16% | ||
skysunny | 0 | 80,630,638 | 68% | ||
bert0 | 0 | 18,744,286,441 | 4.36% | ||
justyy | 0 | 779,168,951,405 | 3.97% | ||
dapeng | 0 | 36,560,065,661 | 100% | ||
happyukgo | 0 | 191,278,524 | 3.97% | ||
timool | 0 | 824,649,097 | 68% | ||
lucknie | 0 | 13,098,223,468 | 68% | ||
dumping | 0 | 1,318,565,542 | 68% | ||
elizacheng | 0 | 16,288,740,441 | 9% | ||
shenchensucc | 0 | 2,420,685,976 | 1.3% | ||
robinlee | 0 | 0 | 3.97% | ||
catwomanteresa | 0 | 46,652,472,801 | 50% | ||
pixelfan | 0 | 13,003,288,295 | 2.2% | ||
towardsthesun | 0 | 973,630,065 | 20% | ||
rainyapril | 0 | 0 | 3.97% | ||
liangfengyouren | 0 | 5,238,783,005 | 80% | ||
mangoanddaddy | 0 | 2,320,286,533 | 80% | ||
kikima | 0 | 0 | 3.97% | ||
geass | 0 | 0 | 3.97% | ||
tvb | 0 | 64,171,774,032 | 100% | ||
kimzwarch | 0 | 14,872,550,607 | 8% | ||
mayun | 0 | 562,803,634 | 100% | ||
yellowbird | 0 | 3,417,265,352 | 80% | ||
davidke20 | 0 | 114,935,606,086 | 100% | ||
superbing | 0 | 542,681,448 | 3.97% | ||
dailyfortune | 0 | 229,574,794 | 3.97% | ||
dancingapple | 0 | 4,822,924,690 | 20% | ||
dailystats | 0 | 998,055,436 | 3.97% | ||
hqy | 0 | 29,837,182,557 | 60% | ||
metten | 0 | 7,002,732,183 | 68% | ||
flamingirl | 0 | 1,060,919,505 | 4.36% | ||
jianan | 0 | 1,780,505,481 | 3.97% | ||
cn-book | 0 | 715,066,690 | 68% | ||
halleyleow | 0 | 4,043,358,588 | 80% | ||
cnbuddy | 0 | 80,049,171,162 | 4.34% | ||
jacktan | 0 | 3,003,141,297 | 50% | ||
cn-movie | 0 | 68,173,700 | 68% | ||
anxin | 0 | 68,862,552 | 3.97% | ||
angelina6688 | 0 | 16,834,077,607 | 30% | ||
vivia | 0 | 2,253,994,174 | 68% | ||
yikloongye | 0 | 151,622,619 | 100% | ||
johnhooi | 0 | 555,541,378 | 100% | ||
maiyude | 0 | 12,441,181,647 | 4.71% | ||
xiaoli | 0 | 198,193,521 | 68% | ||
yumisee | 0 | 1,286,039,589 | 100% | ||
nean | 0 | 0 | 3.97% | ||
joeliew | 0 | 3,494,755,656 | 100% | ||
woolfe19861008 | 0 | 52,614,106 | 3.97% | ||
hkit98 | 0 | 445,006,776 | 100% | ||
dailychina | 0 | 725,543,787 | 3.97% | ||
elvinmas001 | 0 | 394,499,385 | 100% | ||
watersoo | 0 | 3,318,792,720 | 100% | ||
vamos-amigo | 0 | 2,948,682,536 | 100% | ||
vincenthan | 0 | 0 | 3.97% | ||
iipoh06 | 0 | 533,294,825 | 100% | ||
dongfengman | 0 | 461,087,933 | 3.97% | ||
serenazz | 0 | 4,657,567 | 3.97% | ||
annabellenoelle | 0 | 492,134,874 | 100% | ||
yedda | 0 | 0 | 3.97% | ||
zasilla | 0 | 0 | 3.97% | ||
fishaa | 0 | 172,721,285 | 3.97% | ||
yethui | 0 | 705,470,528 | 100% | ||
riczlook | 0 | 574,848,848 | 100% | ||
ethanlee | 0 | 108,091,890 | 3.97% | ||
andrewnoel | 0 | 313,070,608 | 100% | ||
twinsnicole | 0 | 0 | 3.97% | ||
deepthinking | 0 | 0 | 3.97% | ||
gogoabc | 0 | 173,840,275 | 3.97% | ||
fishbb | 0 | 1,434,010,981 | 25.16% | ||
fanso | 0 | 18,500,303 | 3.97% | ||
huangzuomin | 0 | 162,292,277,308 | 100% | ||
liewsc | 0 | 3,035,086,856 | 50% | ||
tanzy | 0 | 1,403,585,271 | 50% | ||
ryenneleow | 0 | 4,524,792,122 | 90% | ||
lilypang22 | 0 | 12,146,629 | 3.97% | ||
fishcc | 0 | 133,298,706 | 3.97% | ||
fishdd | 0 | 986,725,443 | 25.16% | ||
yuting | 0 | 175,679,456 | 3.97% | ||
lilyan | 0 | 177,653,253 | 3.97% | ||
tresor | 0 | 12,042,984,389 | 4.36% | ||
zens | 0 | 0 | 3.97% | ||
andrewma | 0 | 154,973,374 | 0.79% | ||
sbi3 | 0 | 83,891,235,341 | 11.09% | ||
steemitvip | 0 | 0 | 3.97% | ||
regals | 0 | 0 | 3.97% | ||
joelone | 0 | 0 | 3.97% | ||
archisteem | 0 | 4,680,201,867 | 7.5% | ||
sweet-jenny8 | 0 | 908,949,222 | 3.97% | ||
robotq | 0 | 6,911,334,834 | 100% | ||
atinna | 0 | 132,392,857 | 3.97% | ||
cn-malaysia | 0 | 29,519,050,321 | 100% | ||
digital.mine | 0 | 25,770,913,033 | 1% | ||
moneybaby | 0 | 844,390,179 | 2.5% | ||
wanggang | 0 | 6,512,411,483 | 0.86% | ||
ffbank | 0 | 178,254,916 | 3.97% | ||
weicomenew | 0 | 155,719,239 | 3.97% | ||
laiyuehta | 0 | 135,375,137 | 3.97% | ||
turtlegraphics | 0 | 64,618,527 | 3.97% | ||
witnesstools | 0 | 273,883,936 | 3.97% | ||
sasaadrian | 0 | 28,473,300,216 | 20% | ||
memeteca | 0 | 627,438,621 | 4.36% | ||
ilovecoding | 0 | 247,882,209 | 3.97% | ||
pollygonewild | 0 | 139,237,761 | 100% | ||
foodblogresteem | 0 | 91,003,699 | 100% | ||
lizachong | 0 | 965,532,157 | 50% | ||
steemfuckeos | 0 | 98,265,806 | 3.97% | ||
steemegg | 0 | 8,083,619,732 | 25% | ||
jacoblai | 0 | 0 | 100% | ||
bobdavids | 0 | 279,138,232 | 100% | ||
limka | 0 | 46,350,608 | 100% | ||
blockcleaner | 0 | 878,825,256 | 3.97% | ||
steem-drivers | 0 | 3,752,025,985 | 30% | ||
cplusplus | 0 | 246,983,236 | 3.97% | ||
justsoso | 0 | 28,125,305 | 3.97% | ||
sbi-tokens | 0 | 233,856,723 | 1.66% | ||
longhash | 0 | 240,798,460 | 3.97% | ||
cnlifes | 0 | 172,733,174 | 3.97% | ||
cnfish | 0 | 173,732,524 | 3.97% | ||
llfestyle | 0 | 189,398,452 | 3.97% | ||
cnbuddy-reward | 0 | 31,018,897,620 | 4.34% | ||
starnote | 0 | 138,521,479 | 68% | ||
moochain.net | 0 | 139,728,419 | 68% | ||
dinggle | 0 | 0 | 68% | ||
erlcet | 0 | 132,783,787 | 3.97% | ||
steeemmonsters | 0 | 133,745,760 | 3.97% | ||
maiydue | 0 | 231,652,811 | 3.97% | ||
wongshiylng | 0 | 247,800,672 | 3.97% | ||
deepcrypti8 | 0 | 247,578,901 | 3.97% | ||
myiord1992 | 0 | 249,474,509 | 3.97% | ||
wilhb82 | 0 | 133,175,885 | 3.97% | ||
morningshlne | 0 | 133,228,478 | 3.97% | ||
leodec | 0 | 133,477,281 | 3.97% | ||
splinterislands | 0 | 246,590,505 | 3.97% | ||
keivinzhang | 0 | 246,893,873 | 3.97% | ||
sexybeach | 0 | 246,772,082 | 3.97% | ||
suckmydick | 0 | 97,989,977 | 3.97% | ||
chromebook | 0 | 98,067,699 | 3.97% | ||
ericandryan | 0 | 449,543,401 | 3.97% | ||
bnk | 0 | 5,046,463,270 | 4.36% |