[定投比特币第73期] 你想过比特币减半牛市不来，会如何？ by yellowbird

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cn-reader · @yellowbird · (edited)
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[定投比特币第73期] 你想过比特币减半牛市不来，会如何？
![定投1116.jpg](https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmY6bwdzbJsvY3ZvCSrK1B8zVu2g98RYhBAPPW3Bz3pa7A/%E5%AE%9A%E6%8A%951116.jpg)

本周末完成了第73期比特币定投，目前总体收益21%，持币成本¥49715。

比特币每四年减半后都会带来一次大牛市，这样的规律已经深入人心，而离比特币下一次减半大概还有5个月时间。

减半之前会慢慢进入牛市吗？目前来看暂时没有，习大大讲话以后，比特币拉升了一波，现在又开始下行横盘，整体来看似乎并没有给比特币带来很大的资金入场，但是增加了比特币的更大知名度应该是有的。

减半一定会带来牛市吗？我最近看到了一篇不错的文章《[若熬到比特币减半时牛市却没来，市场或将面临一场灾难](https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/_r2KMak_QhJOvggs_mZT-Q)》给了一个很不同的观点，值得我们深思。

当人们都认为比特币减半会带来牛市时，文章抛出了一个问题：“**比特币减半，到底会不会迎来牛市？若不来，将面临什么？**”

这不是没有可能，因为没有人能百分百预测未来！如果真是这样，你是否做好了风险防范？

文章一个主要的观点是：**比特币减半未必是牛市主因！真正主因或许是突破性的技术和解决方案，新的价值。**

当这一轮减半，没有新的技术和新的价值出来，也许减半牛市的规律就不会显现，这样的后果很严重，也许到时“比特币共识坍塌”，血流成河。

不过文章最后，还是很乐观的肯定了**区块链技术，这必定是未来**，只是现在未准备好。我们要做的，就是活着。

活着！

这让我想起了，《长安十二时辰》里李必和徐宾的一段对话：

[“解决一切问题的终极办法”是什么?](https://steemblog.github.io/@yellowbird/bhqrhaor/)

创造大唐“大数据”技术的徐宾给出来答案“**活着**”。
👍  , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , and 49 others
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@team-cn · 
感谢代理20.48SP 给team-cn! 由于你使用CN作为你的标签，额外获得1%点赞！ 你的帖子获得team-cn 7% 点赞！(如果不想看到这个回复，请回复“取消”)
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@cnbuddy · 
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@sebescen81 · 
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@angelina6688 · 
我现在股票收益22%了，虚拟货币没记录，投入得太小懒得算了。。。。

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@yellowbird · 
股市！股票比币的风险小很多，还可以方便兑现。22%，牛！
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@steem-ua · 
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