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Better Buy: ExxonMobil vs. Dow (Lesser Of Two Evils) by rollandthomas

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· @rollandthomas · (edited)
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Better Buy: ExxonMobil vs. Dow (Lesser Of Two Evils)
<center>https://mentormarket.io/wp-content/uploads/2019/08/me-2.png</center> <br/><p>This past weekend I came
across an article on Motley Fool titled, </p>
<p><a href="https://www.fool.com/investing/2019/10/13/better-buy-exxonmobil-vs-dow.aspx">Better Buy: ExxonMobil vs. Dow</a></p>
<p>I immediately thought
about the which one is the lesser of two evils…very similar when Hillary was
running against Trump a couple of years ago.&nbsp;
</p>
<img src="https://i.ytimg.com/vi/66fKa4jZsMc/maxresdefault.jpg" alt="Image result for hillary vs trump" />
<p>Nevertheless, I wanted to
get a tidbit from the article before I give you my opinion. </p>
<blockquote class="wp-block-quote"><p>ExxonMobil (NYSE:XOM) is an old hand with a diversified business model. While the name Dow (NYSE:DOW) is old, it's really a new company today, with a focus on the chemical space. Here's a few things you need to think about to decide which one of these iconic names is a better fit for your portfolio.</p><p>Exxon is working through a difficult period for oil prices and spending heavily to improve its business. It has a rock-solid balance sheet and looks relatively cheap from a historical basis (the yield is higher than it has been in decades). It is hardly risk-free, but it has a long history of success behind it. Even conservative investors would be OK jumping aboard here. </p><p>Dow has a great name and solid businesses, but is really a new company today with a very limited history. Its balance sheet isn't as strong as Exxon's, but it also isn't likely to face the same top- and bottom-line swings. That also suggests its target payout ratio is reasonable. However, with little track record, most investors would probably be better off giving the company at least a year or so to get its house in order before jumping on this high-yield stock.</p>
</blockquote>
<p><a href="https://www.fool.com/investing/2019/10/13/better-buy-exxonmobil-vs-dow.aspx">Source</a></p>
<p>Sector SPDR ETFs have become one of the most popular ways to invest in specific sectors of the stock market. Sector SPDRs track 11 different sectors in the S&amp;P 500.  It’s important to note that 39% of a stock’s move is due to the sector that it belongs to.  The remaining balance is 41% of a stock’s move is due to the index and only 20% of a stock’s move is due to the company itself. </p>
<p>Since May I started tracking the SPDR sectors based on a moving average and a rating system I developed.  It’s been fairly accurate in identifying the strongest and weakest sectors.  Please note Exon belongs to the XLE sector and Dow belongs to the XLB sector.</p>
<p>Here are the results from
last week. </p>
<img src="https://steemitimages.com/640x0/https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmSStCFXotSVdnHQu336EuER97aasHPxiwsKBuvaQRjscW/image.png" alt="" />
<p>Here are the results from
wk of 5/13/19</p>
<img src="https://steemitimages.com/640x0/https://mentormarket.io/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/image-215.png" alt="" />
<p>As you can see, both companies have been in the worse sector five months ago and today.  And when I look at the monthly chart for both companies, the chart suggests ExxonMobil will fall to the monthly demand at $60, 

![](https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmTJxJpEPXJHjBeMLgBF3JK4KQMwxtuWqEyFRYAc2VWyko/image.png)

<p>while the chart for DOW suggests price will fall to weekly demand at $42.</p>
<img src="https://mentormarket.io/wp-content/uploads/2019/10/image-42-1024x486.png" alt="" class="wp-image-60960" />
<p>If I was Motley Fool, I would of probably titled the article, "Better Buy In the Future: ExxonMobil Or Dow" because neither one of them is worth buying at this point. </p>
<p>

This post is my personal opinion. I’m not a financial advisor, this isn't financial advise. Do your own research before making investment decisions.

</p>
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<center><em>Published by <a href="https://mentormarket.io/profile/?rollandthomas/">Rolland Thomas</a>
</em></p>
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