유가 20불의 시대.... by fenrir78

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hive-101145 · @fenrir78 ·
$30.58
유가 20불의 시대....
안녕하세요, fenrir입니다.
<br/>

현재 WTI CL1 선물의 가격은 $20.5입니다.
<br/>
![wti.png](https://files.steempeak.com/file/steempeak/fenrir78/gqJJkDTI-wti.png)
<br/>
올해 초만 하더라도 $60 이상이었으니 거의 70% 가까지 빠졌다고 볼 수 있으며 그 이유는,
<br/>
첫째, 코로나 바이러스 사태로 인한 수요의 급감입니다.

항공, 해상, 육로 모두 제한하니 당연히 이동이 적을 수 밖에 없고 기름을 쓸 이유가 없습니다.

<br/>
둘째, 공급의 증가입니다.

러시아와 사우디의 패권 타툼 + 미국 셰일 업체 죽이기가 더해져 수요는 없는데 공급은 오히려 늘어 났습니다.
<br/>
가격을 하락시키는 두 가지 요소가 강하게 작용하면서 급락하였으니, 두 가지 중 하나만 해소되더라도 급 반등이 올 수도 있다고 생각합니다.

공급은 쟤들 맘이니 당연히 모르겠지만, 수요는 이번 사태가 약간이라도 진정되는 기미가 보인다면 폭발적으로 증가할 것으로 예상됩니다.
<br/>
저는 일단 $20, $15, $10 세 가지 선을 두고 매수하기로 결정하였습니다. 

베스트 시나리오는 $10 갔다가 $50으로 회복되는 것인데....

과연 ㅋㅋㅋㅋㅋ

암튼 그렇습니다.
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vote details (251)
@cheetah · 
Hi! Did you know that steemit.com is now censoring users and posts based on their opinions?
 All the posts of these users are gone!
https://github.com/steemit/condenser/commit/3394af78127bdd8d037c2d49983b7b9491397296 

 Here's a list of some banned users:
```'roelandp', 'blocktrades', 'anyx', 'ausbitbank', 'gtg', 'themarkymark', 'lukestokes.mhth', 'netuoso', 'innerhive'```
See anyone you recognize? There could be more, they also have a remote IP ban list.

Will you be censored next?
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@fur2002ks · 
원유 사요?  ㅎㅎ
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@fenrir78 · 
사 놓고 안 오르면 기름으로 쓸려구요 ㅋㅋㅋ
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@tailcock · 
실세는 투자를 잘 하시네요. 분할 매수 좋죠. 
치킨 게임에서 패자가 나올 때 까지 내릴 듯 합니다.
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@fenrir78 · 
ㅎㅎ 진득한 투자자가 아니라 큰 돈을 못 법니다 ㅠㅠㅠㅠ
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@happyberrysboy · 
예전 집에 기름탱크 있었는데.. 거기에 좀 재놔야겠어요! ㅋㅋ
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@fenrir78 · 
ㅋㅋㅋㅋ 누가 뽁뽁이 연결해서 다 뽑아갑니다...
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@maikuraki · 
와.. 천재이십니다
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@sweetpapa · 
저도 천천히 접근 해보려구요 ㅎㅎ
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@cool191 · 
코로나 종료까진 수요가 줄어서 하락하지 않을지
트럼프가 정유회사 죽이진 않을테니
추매 계속하면 좋은 결과가 나오겠네요
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