Crypto Confidence - Is there blood in the streets? by merej99

View this thread on steempeak.com
· @merej99 ·
$4.18
Crypto Confidence - Is there blood in the streets?
Watching the crypto markets over the last month, the first thing that pops into my head is ***There's blood in the streets!*** People are freaking out about the crypto markets. 

<center>https://media.giphy.com/media/6vR90IY8ufcuA/giphy.gif</center>

In fact, I had gotten an email from the DREAM team because they've postponed their public sale, which honestly raised an eyebrow.


<center>![Meredith Loughran blogs on Steemit](https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmWuGvie9sm7e8bXPUYChggk88V6tNLt8U66AcZU3XZqLP/dream-email.jpg)</center>
<sup>*Screenshot of the email*</sup>

Here's the text in case you can't read the screenshot:

## Public Sale Postponed

We are postponing our token sale until market conditions improve. ETH went from from $406 last week to a low of $256 yesterday. 

All our advisors and investors are telling us to hold and focus on the core business, which is what we will do.

We'll continue to build traction, develop our product, and grow our ecosystem so we're even stronger when the market improves.

## Rewards Paused

Thanks to all the community for rewards contributions, however to maintain our token supply we are pausing rewards until the token sale opens again. 

All pending approvals will be processed over the next week, and rewards will be issued at the end of the sale.

# Good or bad, *I get it.* 

Public sales and ICOs are supposed to raise funds for an enterprise and it's very hard to steady one's confidence when the market takes a dump. The crypto naysayers, non-believers, and told-you-so-ers are stroking their whiskers because they feel justified for not diving in and drinking the kool-aid.

I'm not certain if DREAM and other crypto projects can benefit from postponing their public sales. It seems a little counter-intuitive to me because it's stacking low buyer confidence with low market confidence. As a marketer and business owner, I have to wonder about their plan. Do they have a recovery strategy or will they disappear?


<P><HR><P>

# I'm invested in crypto! 

I've got money, time, work, and bounties which I've invested in. I also accept crypto when invoicing a client. 

<center>![](https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmYBi5g4R4M9FAD2ndvjy6G69iQNmBQMNmPEf64eekipaZ/image.png)<br><sup>Designed by @eirik</sup></center>

Yeah, STEEM is under a dollar but that doesn't frighten me from accepting it as payment for a job. I've been called a fool for lesser things. But if you want to discuss proverbial blood in the streets?  

## I remember $0.08 STEEM:

<center>![steem7cents.jpg](https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmSX3qC8TrmEnuuxqYNwRZJ2kViwWskoS1S2oLGnc1414w/steem7cents.jpg)</center>

# <center>Wait... What?! 7 cents for STEEM? 😱</center>
<center>*the horror!*</center>

# Interview with Meltem Demirors, CSO at CoinShares

When I saw this 6 minute clip from CNBC, my thoughts on crypto solidified with greater confidence.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Mjw-CDUzMXM

<P>

> "New technologies that shift the paradigm take a long time to really understand." - Meltem Demirors

Ms. Demirors mentions that if you had invested in ETH a year ago and held onto it, you've neither lost or gained anything today. Of course we invest for a profitable return; breaking even doesn't feel like progress. 

Certainly this current market feels like a gut punch, *especially if you bought high,* but that's the risk and part of what makes trading exciting. Who doesn't love a good rollercoaster ride?

<center>https://media.giphy.com/media/jzpLjAx4pAsP6/giphy.gif</center>

## So let's examine BTC for a moment.

I've looked at the history and see a definite trend and how cyclical it is. I won't speculate if this is a nature or nurture trend, regardless, I see something which makes me excited for the coming months. **Please note that I am not giving investment advice. These are just my observations.**

| Year | August Low Price | Year End High  Price |
| ---- | ---- | ---- |
| 2013 | $106.23 | $1149.14 |
| 2014 | $586.12 | $264.48 (Jan 4) ↓ |
| 2015 | $208.97 | $468.86 | 
| 2016 |  $539.29 | $1176.65 (Jan 5) |
| 2017 | $2704.88 | $19934.20 (Dec 17) |
| 2018 | $6069.72 | **⇅ ?** |

<center><sup>***Four out of the last five had year-end gains. That's not too shabby, wouldn't you agree?***</sup></center>

**What will happen at the end of 2018?** We can only speculate, but taking a page from Meltem Demirors, I'm going to stay calm and play the long game. 

<P><HR><P>

<sup>*all images are my own unless otherwise cited*<br>[Rollercoaster gif](https://media.giphy.com/media/6vR90IY8ufcuA/giphy.gif)</sup>

<center><a href="https://steemit.com/created/steemusa"><img src="https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmfKaehC6nk2PyyjLPMnWyhPV1qQzYzos5kh1P5wsLYN7D/image.png"></a><br>
<a href="http://mjloughran.com"><img src="https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmf9rUygdr9KVFkmGwWDZ62cMJFcQhmZ4aeozoKK1Xmugg/image.png"></a></center>
👍  , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , and 10 others
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vote details (74)
@meesterboom ·
The long game is where its at for sure.

You know,  Iwouldn't trust a team that delayed anything because of the price. They are still selling tokens, it speaks volumes that they are delaying it. As we all know, ICO's tend to fail or not produce and if someone delays there sale because of the low price I would think f**k that :O)
👍  
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@merej99 ·
$0.03
Exactly! From my perspective, it feels like they're taking away an early adopter benefit of getting more tokens for my money. I wonder about the real reason behind the postponement. I might understand the decision if they had huge investors in the sidelines scooping up all the tokens at fire sale prices and leaving nothing left at cost to make a profit - *but is that the case?* I doubt it.
👍  
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@meesterboom ·
I doubt it very much myself!
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@shan.mirza ·
Haha 😀😀 what is this?

Posted using [Partiko Android](https://play.google.com/store/apps/details?id=io.partiko.android)
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@surikowstepanuk ·
@merej99
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@cryptopie ·
It is a very uncertain world in cryptos but we just have to look at the long term picture for it all. @merej99
👍  
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@merej99 ·
Isn't that the way of life, @cryptopie 
Everything is really uncertain but we just keep forging ahead to telling ourselves it will be all right. <3
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@denmarkguy ·
$0.05
This is a long game situation now, to be sure. And yes, I remember 7-cent Steem. And I remember how cool it was that I had a couple of posts where I got 200SP for a single post!

But yeah, there's always a slump in the summer, and particularly in August. Some investment experts actually call it the "Hippie Dip" because it's attributed (falsely or not) to baby boomers and others going to Burning Man and other summer music, arts and "experience" festivals. 

If you figure 80,000 people go to Burning Man in August, and even though it's a "moneyless" festival, it probably costs an average of $3,000 to travel and gear up to be there for a week. Now consider that there are *hundreds* of festivals happening every July-August-September, and the cost of attendance has to be raised from *somewhere,* and that somewhere is often the liquidation of "fringe" investments. Even these festivals are only a $10bn blip on the investment landscape, it still might be enough to create "sell pressure," and you know how FUD and FOMO work. 

Of course, it's also summer, and people are on vacation and SPENDING money, not saving and INVESTING it.

Where are we going to end up this year? I'm sure it's going to be a bit "sticky" till "The Man Burns" (first week of September) and then we're likely to see upticks into the fall... probably with some spiking around the start of the 4th quarter.
👍  ,
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@merej99 ·
WOW - the "hippie dip" - I haven't heard that phrase in a *long time*. LOL
It absolutely makes sense that there is a summer dip exactly for the reasons you've stated. "Fringe" investments are usually the first thing to go. 

For me, ***I know that crypto can pay the bills*** - I've had to rely on it a few times! There is still a big part of me that considers it "play money" so I accumulate what I can, when I can. Wouldn't it be fun to be an "accidental" millionaire? LOL Ah, to dream...
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@karenmckersie ·
I agree totally @merej99 ! *"Stay calm and play the long game"* I also remember very well when Steem was at 0.08  , and I still kept blogging away! It just bothers me that im so broke still , and I cant buy any right now, because I truly believe it will go up, especially once the SMTs come out, (I hear not untill January now, a year after they were supposed to be released) anyways , im hanging out more in steemmonsters now and meeting new people, winning booster packs and hopefully one day the cards will pay off! Great post my friend, upped and resteemed!✌👍💕
https://render.bitstrips.com/v2/cpanel/5b8bb193-be92-43af-8542-64710654691b-2b851cb9-3222-436b-9bb7-ff7645be9ace-v1.png?transparent=1&palette=1
👍  
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vote details (1)
@merej99 ·
My attitude has always been that I post on Steemit for pleasure and not as a reliable source of income. I'm still amazed that some of my writer friends still have not tried to blog here - and a big part of that is they are afraid of crypto. Now that it's hitting more mainstream news - mostly bad or "mystical money" news - they will keep it at arm's length. 
I'm collecting the Steem Monsters because it's fun. I haven't really looked at the investment side of it quite yet :)  Good luck with your collection!

ps - I sent you a friend request on Facebook and added you to the list of Steemians in the Steem Monsters FB group.
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@karenmckersie · (edited)
Ok cool,yes for me too.I never go on Facebook,only send stuff there from Steemit lol, but later when I get up I will try to find your friends request, if I can figure it out,I'm falling asleep right now.thanks a bunch for adding me @merej99 !👌✌️😊

Posted using [Partiko Android](https://play.google.com/store/apps/details?id=io.partiko.android)
👍  
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vote details (1)
@tomgodswill ·
The market is getting frightening. 
But we aren't going to give up.
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