Steemit Evolution Metrics [2/2] by profitgenerator

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· @profitgenerator ·
$0.35
Steemit Evolution Metrics [2/2]
<CENTER>[![sv.png](https://s28.postimg.org/kwp6xtqgd/image.png)](https://postimg.org/image/85b0rbgo9/)</CENTER>
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Just a quick update, I have expanded my [Steemvoter](https://steemvoter.com/) curation list to 170 users, out of the 200 users that you can add for free. And up to 500 premium.

If you don't know, [Steemvoter](https://steemvoter.com/) let's you auto-curate people, so that your curation rewards can be automated. I do that automatically, while I leave 5% for myself as manual curation.

I have now 170 people on the list including good people like: @etcmike, @creatr, @karenmckersie and many others who frequently comment on my articles. You can sign up for [Steemvoter](https://steemvoter.com/) right now, and you can add me there in your auto-vote list if you want.

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# Profit/Article

[Upon further research into the metrics](https://steemit.com/steem/@profitgenerator/steemit-evolution-metrics-1-2), I have found out that the rolling median is a decent way to measure the expected progress.

As the median is a measure of the middle of a probability distribution, the most likely value. While a rolling median measures that over time. So we can measure with it, the expected profit/article over time.

I have modeled this as a time-series, and it turns out that in my case, there is significant autocorrelation up to the 6th lag, and it can be best modeled with an [OLS(6) model](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ordinary_least_squares). 

My forecasts show a positive trend for me, thus indicates that I am having some success on Steemit. With this pace, in a few months I can double my expected pay/article, regardless of Steem price.


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Sources:
[Steemvoter](https://steemvoter.com/)


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