I was born two years after the launch of Sputnik I, a year before the Bay of Pigs invasion. Trust me, it's been more than 20 years of shit being stirred up. Strategic Analysis is something of a hobby of mine. I predicted the crisis in the South China Sea clear back in 2010, long before it hit the mainstream media.

And I'm telling you, the current situation has the makings of a perfect storm. The world doesn't go to shit because of one thing, it goes to shit because a concatenation of events overcomes the ability of the system to stabilise itself. Or because of a Black Swan.

And now, if you'll excuse me, this tired old man is going to go take his afternoon nap ;)