Warren Buffett Just Helped My Delta Short by rollandthomas

steemleo · @rollandthomas · Apr 4 '20

$0.16

Warren Buffett Just Helped My Delta Short

<center>![](https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmSPzePVe7vUxCHPHWcUooyupoUiSupLqQdeNbPasJHCKt/image.png)</center>

Delta Air Lines, Inc. provides scheduled air transportation for passengers and cargo in the United States and internationally. The company has hubs in Atlanta, Minneapolis-St., Los Angeles, New York, London-Mexico City, etc.
Delta holds the prestigious position of third largest fleet in the US, but holds the number one overall ranking and on-time arrivals in the US. Relative to other airlines in the world, Delta also holds the number one position in terms of revenue in the world.

Three months ago Delta kicked off earnings season for the airlines with a bang. Delta Air Lines reported earnings that beat expectations Delta reported earnings per share squashed expectations by more than 20%, its largest EPS beat in almost 6 years. Delta associated its huge EPS beat to stronger than anticipated revenue, lower fuel costs and because they have no Boeing 737 Max planes in their fleet. However, I don’t anticipate Delta having similar results for the first quarter.

Airlines started cutting their schedules several weeks ago as the US and other governments started rolling out travel restrictions. Flight cancellations were also due to a decline in tourism and business travel. Let me take a second to quantify things. According to the International Air Transport Association, global airlines stand to lose over $100 billion in sales if the coronavirus continues to spread.

![](https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQma4QUfadpMNLieykxeQpPRp6PboN6fch3Nr5va5d685Wy/image.png)

Three weeks ago, Delta said it will cut its capacity in the next few months by 40% and ground 300 plans. This is more than what they did during 9/11. Then two weeks ago, Delta said it now plans to reduce its seat capacity by 70% and ground at least half of its fleet.

Last week, traffic through the airport’s Transportation Security Administration screening areas was down 90.3% compared to the same week in March 2019, according to data provided by DIA. Prior weeks were down 65%, 14% and 9%, going back to early March, when the first harbinger of a drastic change in air travel hit.

DIA’s decline mirrors TSA checkpoint traffic nationally as more travelers are staying home and airlines are canceling large numbers of flights. On Tuesday, TSA agents screened 146,348 people, down nearly 93% from just more than 2 million on the same weekday a year ago, according to TSA data.

</blockquote>

<center><a href="https://www.reporterherald.com/2020/04/01/coronavirus-denver-airport-traffic-security/">Source</a></center>

Warren Buffett’s Berkshire Hathaway disclosed that it sold large blocks of stock in Delta Air Lines and Southwest Airlines.
A little more than a month ago, Warren Buffett through Berkshire bought an additional 976,507 shares in Delta at an average per-share price of $46.40. A little under a month ago, I shorted Delta. Because I missed the initial big drop, I didn’t want to put a lot of money down, just enough to keep my interest as I thought there was more additional downside risk.

My decision to short Delta was validated yesterday when news broke that Warren sold 13 million shares of Delta at an average price of $24.19. In addition, Delta is burning through more than $60 million of cash per day and recently the CEO said that revenue is expected to be down 90% for the second quarter.

So how long will I hold my short position...well it's a January 2021 put option with a strike price at $25 that is already in the money. Thus, the chart suggests the price is headed down to the $16 level with a final target at the monthly demand at $6.

![](https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmWFCqGoKNX4k6DZDCsVGzYJLWauZyw6rB7RifeFajCz3Q/image.png)

This post is my personal opinion. I’m not a financial advisor, this isn't financial advise. Do your own research before making investment decisions.

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@xxxxxxxxxx · Apr 6 '20

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@sirvotesalot · Apr 6 '20

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@z8teyb289qav9z · Apr 6 '20

https://i.imgur.com/CBqCEo5.png<br><br>HIVE (THE NON-COMMUNIST, NON-CENSORED, JUSTIN SUN EXCLUDING SOCIAL BLOCKCHAIN) IS ALIVE, COME JOIN US!!!<br><br>https://peakd.com <--- Log in with your Steem account today!!<br>https://steemitimages.com/1280x0/https://i.imgur.com/7MYLvLL.jpg<br>https://steemitimages.com/1280x0/https://i.imgur.com/7MYLvLL.jpg<br>https://steemitimages.com/1280x0/https://i.imgur.com/7MYLvLL.jpg<br>https://steemitimages.com/1280x0/https://i.imgur.com/7MYLvLL.jpg<br>https://steemitimages.com/1280x0/https://i.imgur.com/7MYLvLL.jpg<br>https://steemitimages.com/1280x0/https://i.imgur.com/7MYLvLL.jpg<br>https://steemitimages.com/1280x0/https://i.imgur.com/7MYLvLL.jpg<br>https://steemitimages.com/1280x0/https://i.imgur.com/7MYLvLL.jpg<br>https://steemitimages.com/1280x0/https://i.imgur.com/7MYLvLL.jpg<br>https://steemitimages.com/1280x0/https://i.imgur.com/7MYLvLL.jpg<br>https://steemitimages.com/1280x0/https://i.imgur.com/7MYLvLL.jpg<br>https://steemitimages.com/1280x0/https://i.imgur.com/7MYLvLL.jpg<br>https://steemitimages.com/1280x0/https://i.imgur.com/7MYLvLL.jpg<br>https://steemitimages.com/1280x0/https://i.imgur.com/7MYLvLL.jpg<br>https://steemitimages.com/1280x0/https://i.imgur.com/7MYLvLL.jpg<br>https://steemitimages.com/1280x0/https://i.imgur.com/7MYLvLL.jpg<br>https://steemitimages.com/1280x0/https://i.imgur.com/7MYLvLL.jpg<br>https://steemitimages.com/1280x0/https://i.imgur.com/7MYLvLL.jpg<br>https://steemitimages.com/1280x0/https://i.imgur.com/7MYLvLL.jpg<br>https://steemitimages.com/1280x0/https://i.imgur.com/7MYLvLL.jpg<br>https://steemitimages.com/1280x0/https://i.imgur.com/7MYLvLL.jpg<br>https://steemitimages.com/1280x0/https://i.imgur.com/7MYLvLL.jpg<br>https://steemitimages.com/1280x0/https://i.imgur.com/7MYLvLL.jpg<br>https://steemitimages.com/1280x0/https://i.imgur.com/7MYLvLL.jpg<br>https://steemitimages.com/1280x0/https://i.imgur.com/7MYLvLL.jpg<br>https://steemitimages.com/1280x0/https://i.imgur.com/7MYLvLL.jpg<br>https://steemitimages.com/1280x0/https://i.imgur.com/7MYLvLL.jpg<br>https://steemitimages.com/1280x0/https://i.imgur.com/7MYLvLL.jpg<br>https://steemitimages.com/1280x0/https://i.imgur.com/7MYLvLL.jpg<br>https://steemitimages.com/1280x0/https://i.imgur.com/7MYLvLL.jpg<br>https://steemitimages.com/1280x0/https://i.imgur.com/7MYLvLL.jpg<br>https://steemitimages.com/1280x0/https://i.imgur.com/7MYLvLL.jpg<br>https://steemitimages.com/1280x0/https://i.imgur.com/7MYLvLL.jpg<br>https://steemitimages.com/1280x0/https://i.imgur.com/7MYLvLL.jpg<br>https://steemitimages.com/1280x0/https://i.imgur.com/7MYLvLL.jpg<br>

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@ngc · Apr 6 '20

https://i.imgur.com/CBqCEo5.png<br><br>HIVE (THE NON-COMMUNIST, NON-CENSORED, JUSTIN SUN EXCLUDING SOCIAL BLOCKCHAIN) IS ALIVE, COME JOIN US!!!<br><br>https://peakd.com <--- Log in with your Steem account today!!<br>https://steemitimages.com/1280x0/https://i.imgur.com/7MYLvLL.jpg<br>https://steemitimages.com/1280x0/https://i.imgur.com/7MYLvLL.jpg<br>https://steemitimages.com/1280x0/https://i.imgur.com/7MYLvLL.jpg<br>https://steemitimages.com/1280x0/https://i.imgur.com/7MYLvLL.jpg<br>https://steemitimages.com/1280x0/https://i.imgur.com/7MYLvLL.jpg<br>https://steemitimages.com/1280x0/https://i.imgur.com/7MYLvLL.jpg<br>https://steemitimages.com/1280x0/https://i.imgur.com/7MYLvLL.jpg<br>https://steemitimages.com/1280x0/https://i.imgur.com/7MYLvLL.jpg<br>https://steemitimages.com/1280x0/https://i.imgur.com/7MYLvLL.jpg<br>https://steemitimages.com/1280x0/https://i.imgur.com/7MYLvLL.jpg<br>https://steemitimages.com/1280x0/https://i.imgur.com/7MYLvLL.jpg<br>https://steemitimages.com/1280x0/https://i.imgur.com/7MYLvLL.jpg<br>https://steemitimages.com/1280x0/https://i.imgur.com/7MYLvLL.jpg<br>https://steemitimages.com/1280x0/https://i.imgur.com/7MYLvLL.jpg<br>https://steemitimages.com/1280x0/https://i.imgur.com/7MYLvLL.jpg<br>https://steemitimages.com/1280x0/https://i.imgur.com/7MYLvLL.jpg<br>https://steemitimages.com/1280x0/https://i.imgur.com/7MYLvLL.jpg<br>https://steemitimages.com/1280x0/https://i.imgur.com/7MYLvLL.jpg<br>https://steemitimages.com/1280x0/https://i.imgur.com/7MYLvLL.jpg<br>https://steemitimages.com/1280x0/https://i.imgur.com/7MYLvLL.jpg<br>https://steemitimages.com/1280x0/https://i.imgur.com/7MYLvLL.jpg<br>https://steemitimages.com/1280x0/https://i.imgur.com/7MYLvLL.jpg<br>https://steemitimages.com/1280x0/https://i.imgur.com/7MYLvLL.jpg<br>https://steemitimages.com/1280x0/https://i.imgur.com/7MYLvLL.jpg<br>https://steemitimages.com/1280x0/https://i.imgur.com/7MYLvLL.jpg<br>https://steemitimages.com/1280x0/https://i.imgur.com/7MYLvLL.jpg<br>https://steemitimages.com/1280x0/https://i.imgur.com/7MYLvLL.jpg<br>https://steemitimages.com/1280x0/https://i.imgur.com/7MYLvLL.jpg<br>https://steemitimages.com/1280x0/https://i.imgur.com/7MYLvLL.jpg<br>https://steemitimages.com/1280x0/https://i.imgur.com/7MYLvLL.jpg<br>https://steemitimages.com/1280x0/https://i.imgur.com/7MYLvLL.jpg<br>https://steemitimages.com/1280x0/https://i.imgur.com/7MYLvLL.jpg<br>https://steemitimages.com/1280x0/https://i.imgur.com/7MYLvLL.jpg<br>https://steemitimages.com/1280x0/https://i.imgur.com/7MYLvLL.jpg<br>https://steemitimages.com/1280x0/https://i.imgur.com/7MYLvLL.jpg<br>

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@abusereports · Apr 6 '20

https://i.imgur.com/CBqCEo5.png<br><br>HIVE (THE NON-COMMUNIST, NON-CENSORED, JUSTIN SUN EXCLUDING SOCIAL BLOCKCHAIN) IS ALIVE, COME JOIN US!!!<br><br>https://peakd.com <--- Log in with your Steem account today!!<br>https://steemitimages.com/1280x0/https://i.imgur.com/7MYLvLL.jpg<br>https://steemitimages.com/1280x0/https://i.imgur.com/7MYLvLL.jpg<br>https://steemitimages.com/1280x0/https://i.imgur.com/7MYLvLL.jpg<br>https://steemitimages.com/1280x0/https://i.imgur.com/7MYLvLL.jpg<br>https://steemitimages.com/1280x0/https://i.imgur.com/7MYLvLL.jpg<br>https://steemitimages.com/1280x0/https://i.imgur.com/7MYLvLL.jpg<br>https://steemitimages.com/1280x0/https://i.imgur.com/7MYLvLL.jpg<br>https://steemitimages.com/1280x0/https://i.imgur.com/7MYLvLL.jpg<br>https://steemitimages.com/1280x0/https://i.imgur.com/7MYLvLL.jpg<br>https://steemitimages.com/1280x0/https://i.imgur.com/7MYLvLL.jpg<br>https://steemitimages.com/1280x0/https://i.imgur.com/7MYLvLL.jpg<br>https://steemitimages.com/1280x0/https://i.imgur.com/7MYLvLL.jpg<br>https://steemitimages.com/1280x0/https://i.imgur.com/7MYLvLL.jpg<br>https://steemitimages.com/1280x0/https://i.imgur.com/7MYLvLL.jpg<br>https://steemitimages.com/1280x0/https://i.imgur.com/7MYLvLL.jpg<br>https://steemitimages.com/1280x0/https://i.imgur.com/7MYLvLL.jpg<br>https://steemitimages.com/1280x0/https://i.imgur.com/7MYLvLL.jpg<br>https://steemitimages.com/1280x0/https://i.imgur.com/7MYLvLL.jpg<br>https://steemitimages.com/1280x0/https://i.imgur.com/7MYLvLL.jpg<br>https://steemitimages.com/1280x0/https://i.imgur.com/7MYLvLL.jpg<br>https://steemitimages.com/1280x0/https://i.imgur.com/7MYLvLL.jpg<br>https://steemitimages.com/1280x0/https://i.imgur.com/7MYLvLL.jpg<br>https://steemitimages.com/1280x0/https://i.imgur.com/7MYLvLL.jpg<br>https://steemitimages.com/1280x0/https://i.imgur.com/7MYLvLL.jpg<br>https://steemitimages.com/1280x0/https://i.imgur.com/7MYLvLL.jpg<br>https://steemitimages.com/1280x0/https://i.imgur.com/7MYLvLL.jpg<br>https://steemitimages.com/1280x0/https://i.imgur.com/7MYLvLL.jpg<br>https://steemitimages.com/1280x0/https://i.imgur.com/7MYLvLL.jpg<br>https://steemitimages.com/1280x0/https://i.imgur.com/7MYLvLL.jpg<br>https://steemitimages.com/1280x0/https://i.imgur.com/7MYLvLL.jpg<br>https://steemitimages.com/1280x0/https://i.imgur.com/7MYLvLL.jpg<br>https://steemitimages.com/1280x0/https://i.imgur.com/7MYLvLL.jpg<br>https://steemitimages.com/1280x0/https://i.imgur.com/7MYLvLL.jpg<br>https://steemitimages.com/1280x0/https://i.imgur.com/7MYLvLL.jpg<br>https://steemitimages.com/1280x0/https://i.imgur.com/7MYLvLL.jpg<br>

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