Selling Short Strangles and Straddles - Does it work and what can you expect? by stehaller

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· @stehaller · (edited)
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Selling Short Strangles and Straddles - Does it work and what can you expect?
Dear trading community,

I have seen a lot of discussions on Twitter lately about the issue if selling naked strangles or straddles is a great strategy or a recipe for disaster.

If you have read my books or if you are following my sample portfolio, you know that I'm a huge fan of selling short strangles and straddles.
But with undefined risk strategies comes theoretical unlimited risk.
Therefore it is crucial that you follow the rules I pointed out in my [books](https://www.amazon.com/-/e/B07HFBM58D) and which are mentioned about almost every day on [tastytrade](https://www.tastytrade.com)

# Rules:
- do not use more than 40 - 50% of your available capital on your overall portfolio
- do not use more leverage than 3x notional of your net liq (if you have a $100k account, don't go over $300k notional)
- manage at 21 DTE to avoid gamma risk
- manage your strangles at 50% of max profit and your straddles at 25% of max profit.
- spread your risk among lots of uncorrelated underlyings
- commit capital based on IVR or the VIX (high VIX risk up to 50% on your overall portfolio, if VIX is low, risk less)

**Now let's have a look at what you can expect in profit if you sell different type of strangles/straddles:**

# 16 Delta Short Strangles:
 [tastytrade](https://www.tastytrade.com) has shown in a [study](https://www.tastytrade.com/tt/shows/market-measures/episodes/how-much-theta-is-captured-09-07-2016) that you can expect to keep **25% of the daily theta** if you sell **16 delta short strangles** in **SPY, IWM** and **TLT**.
![Screen Shot 2019-08-14 at 5.08.28 PM.png](https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmRVCcFFoDm4DVtx7CKQdybcfQzM4KqHzwJoL4WxRKEqrC/Screen%20Shot%202019-08-14%20at%205.08.28%20PM.png)
![Screen Shot 2019-08-14 at 5.09.37 PM.png](https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmNvSR8BwVqBNFm1bBgbG6JU9xxJd5YBLVCeip7PpWhCWM/Screen%20Shot%202019-08-14%20at%205.09.37%20PM.png)
<center>**Image source**: [tastytrade](https://www.tastytrade.com/tt/shows/market-measures/episodes/how-much-theta-is-captured-09-07-2016)</center>

Let's have a look at how much contracts you could sell, until you exceed 50% of your capital in margin requirement and/or 3x notional leverage and how much money you would make in a full year.

For the study I was using **August 13th 2019 closing prices**.
Although the percentage of theta you can expect to keep is higher than 25% in SPY and IWM, I was using the 25% number, to be more conservative.


## SPY 16 Delta Strangles
![SPY 16 Delta Strangle - Theta and Leverage.png](https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmZayhMXyun4eLLfTtTb1KAfg4Yb1MbQC83PuJedzJKsc3/SPY%2016%20Delta%20Strangle%20-%20Theta%20and%20Leverage.png)

As you can see, if you just sell 16 delta short strangles in SPY, you can expect to make **9.11%** in profit, if you go up to  **3x notional leverage**.

## IWM 16 Delta Short Strangles
![IWM 16 Delta Strangle - Theta and Leverage.png](https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmZjdy4JrNqhNP6VpxuSaRndN4VzRgswYo7NuxEDbeYvgr/IWM%2016%20Delta%20Strangle%20-%20Theta%20and%20Leverage.png)

As you can see, if you just sell 16 delta short strangles in IWM, you can expect to make **10.93%** in profit, if you commit **50% of your buying power**.

Now let's have a look at **short straddles**.
[tastytrade](https://www.tastytrade.com) has shown in a [study](https://www.tastytrade.com/tt/shows/market-measures/episodes/theta-expectation-straddles-04-19-2017) that you can expect to keep **40-50 % of the daily theta** if you sell **atm short straddles** in **SPY**.

![Screen Shot 2019-08-14 at 5.28.27 PM.png](https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmPN35HY9WdfWNd2FPwYneKjqrmffeBC8kyxM2hrLe3htE/Screen%20Shot%202019-08-14%20at%205.28.27%20PM.png)
<center>**Image source**: [tastytrade](https://www.tastytrade.com/tt/shows/market-measures/episodes/theta-expectation-straddles-04-19-2017)</center>

Let's have a look at how much contracts you could sell, until you exceed 50% of your capital in margin requirement and/or 3x notional leverage and how much money you would make in a full year.
For the study I was using **August 13th 2019 closing prices**.
For the daily theta you can expect to keep, I was using **45%** as the [tastytrade](https://www.tastytrade.com/tt/shows/market-measures/episodes/theta-expectation-straddles-04-19-2017) suggested.

## SPY Short Straddles
![SPY Short Straddle - Theta and Leverage.png](https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmYR6xCKmXDeSLoXPXFkApLAzbw9VqaEQdioAj71RgPL2c/SPY%20Short%20Straddle%20-%20Theta%20and%20Leverage.png)

As you can see, if you just sell **atm short straddles in SPY**, you can expect to make **18.13%** in profit, if you commit **46.83% of your buying power**.

## IWM Short Straddles
![IWM Short Straddle - Theta and Leverage.png](https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmPw4oERjRaEL9WKwabSXjWK9LzZ382Soa2g7tvPBim1Md/IWM%20Short%20Straddle%20-%20Theta%20and%20Leverage.png)

As you can see, if you just sell **atm short straddles in SPY**, you can expect to make **25.25%** in profit, if you commit **48.12% of your buying power**.

Since we want to diversify our portfolio, let's have a look at the **5 most uncorrelated underlyings**, which I showed in my first [book](https://books.apple.com/us/book/id1436443812).

For these examples I was using today's (August 14 2019) prices right at the open.

## GLD Short Straddles
![GLD.png](https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmWBNfThSzxpBq2VTW5FmZgyzR1onQA1RtLBSF4PxewGKV/GLD.png)

## TLT Short Straddles
![TLT.png](https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmRfrhLR6MMBVuY5vhH8GAkPgd4ykpsvjSyM2xhttgiTKd/TLT.png)

## FXE Short Straddles
![FXE.png](https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmQBPxrdkpUUHk9QRQzTD2nYJEeKiv1SSoGZ7S8f4R1aUS/FXE.png)

## IWM Short Straddles
![IWM.png](https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmSdWeBt7XTutny4fMfKTZRjQRAhxAt3qW9aciD9GXDH1H/IWM.png)

## XLE Short Straddles
![XLE 1.png](https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmUDjtoRGmx9M8AZJUaGYaLZqZVipUaMk5T9NhaokgfAdL/XLE%201.png)
![XLE 2.png](https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmdKLxrZLiGVdVcyV3QbsRn3oX6mLNuNSngyacpXZic3Di/XLE%202.png)
![XLE 3.png](https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmQPycDpXMrJyRvzuH5z2SZJvCFgJ25EMuxVne8Fz2NC7N/XLE%203.png)

In the next article I will show you how to build a portfolio with these five underlyings and how to commit your capital based on the VIX, so that you don't get wiped out in a move we experience at the moment.

**If you want to learn more about options trading, please check out my books:**


![Cover.jpg](https://ipfs.busy.org/ipfs/QmUE7fRVQamSHtpdSVzPc7SChhP7RNkmCA9WB7y8vEAmco)

The first book is still available for a huge discount  on [Google Play](https://play.google.com/store/books/details?id=LXV0DwAAQBAJ), so buy as long as it is still cheap.
You can also buy it for **$19.99** on [iTunes](https://itunes.apple.com/us/book/id1436443812), [Amazon](https://www.amazon.com/dp/B07HDWRRQ3) or [Barnes and Nobel](https://www.barnesandnoble.com/w/if-you-can-order-a-pizza-you-can-trade-a-mechanical-approach-to-options-trading-stephan-haller/1129792853?ean=2940161717721).
Thanks to all my readers for buying it.
If you like it, you would do me a great favor by writing a short review on amazon.
<br>
My second book is available for **$5.99** on [Amazon](https://www.amazon.com/dp/B07KVNVQXZ), [Google](https://play.google.com/store/books/details?id=9Zh7DwAAQBAJ) and on [Apple](https://itunes.apple.com/us/book/id1444520033).
Thanks to all my readers for buying it.
If you like it, you would do me a great favor by writing a short review on amazon.
![Cover (schwarz) klein.png](https://ipfs.busy.org/ipfs/QmX68p4yrLVSMZZLuyKq4t3z3GujsrUuPWbTMNS1pymWmE)
<br>
My third book is available on [Amazon](https://www.amazon.com/dp/B07T3Y6WZC), [Google](https://play.google.com/store/books/details?id=IJudDwAAQBAJ) and [iTunes](https://books.apple.com/us/book/id1468791563).

[![Cover Strategy Lessons klein.tiff](https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmZWGKTqbBbzEiHjDStiLFYLtQdtxSH9bawduxEHTHLwjk/Cover%20Strategy%20Lessons%20klein.tiff)](https://www.amazon.com/dp/B07T3Y6WZC)
<br>



Have a great trading day,

Stephan Haller

<br>
**Legal disclaimer:** *These are not trade recommendations. Options involve risk and are not suitable for all investors. The trades shown above are for educational purpose only.*
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