Bitcoin Dives! The Issues of a Low Liquidity Market by cryptovestor

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· @cryptovestor ·
$58.70
Bitcoin Dives! The Issues of a Low Liquidity Market
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xZ0QBgFqCy4

Bitcoin has fallen quite substantially in the past 48 hours from $11,600 to roughly $9,750 at the time of writing this. While there have been some headlines today, it appears this began yesterday by hitting resistance at roughly the $11,500 level, a level that Bitcoin has tested multiple times in January, February and now March as well. Now that we've bounced off this resistance yet again, it might be a tempting area to take profit in the future until we break out above 100-day moving average.

There was some news related to some significant sales from the Mt. Gox bankruptcy trustee that could have helped facilitate the market crash back in January and beginning of February. I don't think this is an outrageous claim: Liquidity has been a common criticism of the cryptocurrency space as the amount of cryptocurrencies actually available for trade can be quite different from the supply, and often the available trading supply is fragmented across many exchanges, spreading out the liquidity.

This is a commonly cited argument for why Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies are manipulated on exchanges - not only are regulations and enforcement loose, but it also requires a relatively smaller pile of money to substantially change the market price of many cryptoassets.

There are a few other news items I bring up in the video related to the Coinbase Index fund which I don't recommend (2% annual fee and it forces you to hold Bitcoin Cash) along with the SEC statements relating to online trading platforms. They're sticking with their prior statements that these "exchanges" aren't really regulated as exchanges and hence investors should be cautious. The major concern is that massive exchanges with many cryptoassets like Bittrex likely have some securities, although it seems like the SEC is just warning investors right now as opposed to enforcing.

What are your thoughts on the market moving forward? Thank you for watching / reading.
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vote details (132)
@newcryptonews1 ·
I heard that the reason for this dip was a rumored security problem/hack on one of the exchanges. 
A lot of people leave their cryptos on exchanges even though they are far less secure than any wallet, so they are tempting for ciber attacks. 
This kind of drops in prices can be easily stopped by speeding awareness, but for that is needed a big campaign or a public figure(yes that is you).
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@kmpec ·
$1.68
Sentiment is right now cautious I would say and there are probably still a lot of weak hands in the market who sell at any bad news... not because they believe they will loose everything, but because they want to buy back in at lower levels.

Most of the newer participants are getting burned over this strategy. Especially as these kind of drops, could also occur to the upside, because not only liquidity is low, but also supply. We saw what happened with the futures annoucement and that probably had no sustainable positive impact on price, it was just speculation.

However, we need to look at some positive developments, which would sustainable raise the price and value of bitcoin:
1. Crypto friendly regulation in one of the major western countries, so institutional money could buy in, without legal risks
2. Approval of an ETF
3. More adoption
4. Technological improvements (like lightning)
5. A killer app for a dApp

There are probably more, which could push the price upwards a lot and once price moves up, the real FOMO will set back in and push the price even higher. Why bother for a 1000$ drop, if BTC could be +30.000$ at the end of the year?
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vote details (9)
@cbandit ·
So again big banks doing their best to take down crypto-currency... πŸ‘πŸ‘πŸ‘πŸ‘πŸ‘πŸ‘πŸ€” interesting to see what happens next.
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@rollandthomas ·
$1.64
The blood bath is over for the moment. After Bitcoin fell 10% today, the buyers stepped in at $9400. However, there are stacks of sell orders waiting at $10600. If price is going to start a new leg up, the buyers must overtake the sellers at $10600 first. Thus, my short term target is $10500. I still like the level at $8400 which represent daily demand.

![](https://steemitimages.com/DQmaBDddCHrmHwoSvConrcDYQWX9iuXZ5bg4sttRj9eV3jH/image.png)
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vote details (3)
@hedge-x ·
What does daily demand mean?
πŸ‘  
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@rollandthomas ·
$1.72
Daily demand represent a level on the daily chart where there are buy orders.  For example, on 4 hr chart, I was able to identify buyers at $9400 as indicated by the yellow circle.  The buyers weren't able to get all their orders filled at this level.  Thus, when price came back to the level, the remaining buyer orders were filled.  This is why price reacted to that level (red circle) and price then went back to $12000.  The higher the time frame, the stronger the level.  That's why I like the $8400 level more, it represents a stronger buying level.  Let me know if this explanation helped at all and appreciate you asking.       

![](https://steemitimages.com/DQmUwpRTvGWue3MxMY5BHDJTfLzEKasLcKLKH4nnro3fhpW/image.png)
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vote details (2)
@nohoinvestor ·
$1.64
We are going to see another pump in bitcoin. The reasons are:
1. Segwit and lightning network adoption - low fees and fast transactions,
2. Bitcoin futures - major players got money from shorts, now it is time to pump it again and it doesn't take that much money, as you mentioned in your post, to pump even bitcoin.
3. Watch Dow 30 - any big drop in Dow will drag bitcoin with it.
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vote details (3)
@tts ·
To listen to the audio version of this article click on the play image.
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@joseramos ·
Excellent view again. Thanks for the open eyes.
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@factfictional ·
$2.07
I was looking at this the other day.
[Bitcoin Volatility Index](https://www.buybitcoinworldwide.com/volatility-index/)
No idea how to interpret this correctly but it might mean that not as many new people 'hodling' and people who cashed out at near ATH or(more likely) one of the dumps have not bought back.

Wouldn't the liquidation of the Mt.Gox coins add volatility to bitcoin? It has stayed above 6% from the start of the year, and with this added it might stay there longer.

More coins on the market might not equal lower overall price but it might mean it will take longer to get up to new hights.

A lot of assumptions here though so I might be thinking about this wrong.
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vote details (3)
@natecordova ·
$1.63
@CryptoInvestor do you believe that a 2013 scenario (prolonged bear market and bitcoin to 2600+-) is more likely than not?

Im genuinely afraid to buy bitcoin at the moment
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@kmpec ·
If you are afraid to buy bitcoin, you better leave it. You wouldnt be afraid, if you could loose the money.
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@natecordova ·
I can loose the money, what's really striking me is the resemblance to the 2013 crash. And in that event, one would want out, right?... Would like some opinions about this.
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@softmetal ·
Looks like the price is getting stabilized for a few hours. I hope it will go back to above $10k again.
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@teutonium ·
$2.04
What i think:
Don't buy index funds, do your own research invest in coins you do your research and do your own index fund! And if you buy those index funds where are you going to store them? can they be stored in a wallet like a ledger?
I'm going to stick with my plant, buy what i believe in, which right now is VEN, EOS and NEO ( i like cryptos that give me dividends and that have good companies behind them) 
The market moving forward is either going to go up, down or sideways :P JK, i think we will se a stable 9k-11k btc price until may at least and only then will the price increase smashing trough 20k and going right to 40-50k, but this is just speculation which i hate to give
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@acard0s0 ·
Have you considered make videos how to use tradingview for example also use the basic indicator? As usually as pleasure to wear you.
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@newageinv ·
$2.07
I think the market reacted correctly to the announcement of exchanges needing to be registered as this will limit adoption and access to cryptos in the short term.  However, this will be a positive measure to ensure adequate retail investor protection from fraudulent exchanges and scams.  It will also increase the quality and security of the exchanges going forward which are needed given news in the past.  The exchanges have made enough money to put proper compliance innplace.  However, short-term volumes will probably continue to suffer.
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@faridk ·
$0.02
Until the issue of regulation is sorted  the market will react  (positively or negatively) to every statement  issued by various regulatory  bodies.  I agree with you that  while regulation, if implemented correctly, will be positive for crypto long term, talk of regulation will probably cause further dips in the short term.
πŸ‘  
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@technicalwealth · (edited)
$6.07
BitCoin dropped for a myriad of reasons ,i believe.

-Low volume is a killer on financial markets.If you ever watch BTC on tradeview or even Gdax ...Volume spikes pretty hard when selling starts,but as of recent with the slow rise towards 12k,volume was actually not too heavy on the buying side. So yes BTC failed to hit/go past the 12k resistance point...which is huge in signifying a bullish trend.

-Buyer sentiment or should i say  indifference. BTC was  the"It"subject a few weeks ago on every news/finance program be it positive or negative.
Now,after that downward spiral to 6k...yes i do believe alot of newbies ran away from this market after selling their BTC/LTC/PaCoin etc. And with a steady influx of negative news on cryptos part (BitGrail/ICO scams/Binance 'issues'/etc) it was somewhat easy seeing this cause some negativity in consumer sentiment.

-Binance having 'issues" be it the false accusation of McAfee's on they being hacked. Or Today's issue of compromised 3rd party bot software. Binance is face it ...one of the most recognizable crypto currency exchanges...anytime it has issues.
Expect a nasty downturn based on people panicking. Binance to their credit are quick to respond and just as fast to shoot down rumors.

Excellent business management on their part.

Even NEO had its own issues when a DEV commented on its node issues on Twitter. Neo's price dropped there after.

Twitter.

Seriously.
   
Now to a person who works in finance last 20+ years,seeing a decent price drop caused by a single person who was critical (and still is from what i read)...shows that this market is as hyper sensitive as a 13 year old girl going through puberty . 
 Not very assuring to someone new wanting to invest some money in this market.

-For those wanting stability...you need the 1% in this market....or at least the top 10%
Wealthy people DO want to get into this market ....but just don't understand it.
 When they see a coin which is considered a top coin (Neo) drop like that off a social media post...well...that sure as Hell doesn't convince them to invest.

Now i know,im going to get "Fuck them we DONT need them....blah blah" responses to this part.
But alot of you complain ...even here on Steemit about crypto's instability.
And unless you got in real early in this game (and im talking early last year or before)....you most likely got in Oct/Nov/Dec...which means you got some red in that portfolio.

If you want stability,realize some things need to change. 
We need real investors ...not just speculators.  

Or this market will keep crashing 
And alot of people will keep losing money.


Excellent video as always my friend @Cryptovestor
πŸ‘  , , , , , , , , , ,
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@epelius ·
I like 13-year-old girls though.
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@greeker02 ·
Very good analysis. As a newbie who got into crypto with a little over a thousand back in November, -and mostly because of mining- a have a serious question to be answered as unbiased as possible. 
Is Crypto a legit market? Is it a legit investing method? 
So far, due diligence and research has come to nothing. When its green everythings green from the worst shit coin to the best project. When its red, everything is red. No real differences to mirror the difference in project value. 
Am I investing or am I gambling? No problem with either but we have to be honest with ourselves
πŸ‘  ,
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@technicalwealth ·
$0.41
As a professional trader i view crypto currency (for the most part) as a slow walk through a penny casino. 

Now am i saying investing in crypto is akin to gambling?
I've been involved with BitCoin since Mt Gox....so i've seen it stir up noise...then go dead...its not a market for the faint of heart.
It is a tough question,id say it depends on a few things... the project(or product at hand)& the team behind it....and what problem does it solve?
But that's me.

I study/research my investments (It's what i do for a living 20+ years now)
(check out their GitHub for example/whitepaper/website)
DON'T base your investments on Telegram groups or YouTube videos.

I'd honestly say...70-80% of the coins you see in the top 200...won't exist in 2 years.
Not because of scams/bad PR...just no product/prototype/nada 

My favorite example is TRIG.
No prototype (on the original roadmap it was supposed to have one by late Jan)
No HQ
New Roadmap is 2 months long (Still trying to 'develop' prototype)
 
To me...it sounds like a pie in the sky project....and will never come to fruition.

Now the positive example...let's use STEEM
Has a working blockchain
Has a purpose & multiple working parts (DTUBE etc)
Solves the problem ,creates a decentralized social media platform that isn't ad run.
Not only can you create content but be compensated for it. 

There are a ton of overhyped projects ,but this isn't the place nor time to call them out.
Id say for you @greeker02 ,think of projects you look at it and say "Now this is a legitimate technology" 
Research the company & team.

If all check out...you got yourself a keeper.
Might it fail?
Sure
This is a speculators market....a tweet cuts Neo's price down by 25%
A tweet.

So if your risk tolerance isn't high...this won't suit you.

This is a long term investment...meaning years not months.

Hope this helps.
πŸ‘  , , ,
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@laurenmichelles ·
Yeah. It's truly astounding that a series of tweets from one dude (which he has now retracted as he hasn't done his research) can derail the price of something as big as NEO. Unfortunately, as with all FUD in crypto, the FUD made news, not the retraction or excellent rebuttals and proof from the NEO team and Fabio over at City of Xion.
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@technicalwealth ·
It is a bit crazy when one person on social media can cut the price of a well liked coin (NEO)
He though didnt totally retract what he said, i read all his tweets ...seems like he's still a bit negative on the project ....though NEO's response was quick & to the point.
If anything...it shows NEO wont take negative rumor mongering too lightly.
Well done on their part.
Cheers!
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@cryptovestor ·
$0.39
Excellent post as always @technicalwealth ! I almost always agree with you and you articulate your thoughts well. The frailness of this market illustrates how speculation driven it truly is.
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@cryptsheets ·
$5.93
Thoughts on this chart? Someone from [Reddit mapped it out.](https://www.reddit.com/r/CryptoCurrency/comments/82ryay/ive_mapped_the_exact_time_when_money_was/dvcc77d/) looks like $400m worth of selling may have been what brought the price down from 20k to 6k. It seems strange because the daily volumes are $10bn+ so you would think they could have avoided pushing the market down by spreading out the sells

https://i.redditmedia.com/gqv4sfXLj2OvXisoG2thJigmpVFhyAx3xcRoZ9fbiM4.png?fm=jpg&s=981813c7d3f574fa196e58c32115fa3f
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@cryptovestor ·
There's no dark pools in these markets (or at least, none that are liquid enough) so realistically speaking, selling a big lot like that would affect price regardless as other people can see all the orders go through. Add in the fact that liquidity is so fragmented and it's fairly difficult to sell such a huge lot without impacting the market regardless. Also, I suspect a lot of that volume was the same Bitcoin(s) being traded MANY times so it doesn't really represent the true supply & demand situation in the market - a sudden influx of supply would affect price even in smaller lots. Still, smaller lots probably would have made more sense so who knows for certain.
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@logi0517 ·
Little off topic, but I wanna ask you about your recent tweets where you asked people to shill you coins which are enterprise applications and not platforms. What was the reason behind it? 

I'm a pretty passive investor, bought some ETH (in the last 6 weeks) to hold for probably at least a year, thinking that if successful projects are created on ETH, that will raise the price of ETH too. Do you think that's false?

 I know the profits are not gonna be the best with this approach, but it's safe and I dont have to worry about it too much.
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@hannesl ·
$0.09
πŸ‘
πŸ‘  
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@bitcointravel ·
$0.30
Next buy is around 2-3k
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@makemoremoneycha ·
Every little thing makes the price go down
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@as1991 ·
Wonderful post.. Thanks for news about cryptos
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@zatox11 ·
What about your promise of delivering more high quality content in 2018? You are focusing alot on short term price action and trading aspects atm which - in my opinion - is very boring. I really liked your youtube videos because they were so different from the rest. Now they have become very similar, just with a more negative tone.

I would really like to hear more longterm opinions about certain coins or the whole market in general since your name is "Crypto Investor" and not "Crypto Trader" or "Crypto Speculator". You mentioned that you want to buy more Monero but you are waiting for it to dip. So basically you are saying that it is overpriced now, but how do you know that? How do you know that it will ever drop further from its current price and if it does, how do you know when it has reached its bottom? The current market price is always the best estimation of its actual value. No single person in the world can make a better estimation than the whole market. 

All these people trying to outperform the market are waisting their time. You cannot tell where the price is going just by looking at a chart. You cannot even make a prediction which is significantly better than a random guess. There has never been a scientific proof of someone beating the market over longer periods of time by using technical analysis and there never will be one. All this constant buying and selling will most likely cause you to underperform the market because of taxes and transaction costs.

With that said I suggest to just buy and hold the coins you like instead of desperately trying to find the perfect timing. Your videos should be more about longterm perspectives. For example I would really like to hear why Monero is your largest altcoin holding and where you see its place in the future rather than talking about short term price action.
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@philiprhoades ·
I liked this comment - you should do your own posts - I followed you . .
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@cryptodocosman ·
Greetings @crytoinveestor; awesome video as usual. Completely agree with all you are saying. I too am patiently waiting for Monero to dip although because at the end of the day it is a very good coin with useful utility that ai am starting to sense that I could be waiting for a long long time...Keep the insightful videos coming. Peace ✌🏽
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@diogosantos ·
As you said, there are a lot of reasons for BTC price to go down, but I think we are comparing the price with the $20K mark that we reached late last year, which in my opinion doesnΒ΄t make much sense for now. Of course it looks bad because the price was affected by speculation, now that all the rumours are not true (yet) we see the market behaving in a normal way and BTC price is at a fair price to be traded at.

Now BTC has to show itΒ΄s potential and utility to take out the $12K resistance line and consequently the 100 MA, otherwise we will be floating around this prices like an usual market, but with bigger volatility (more opportunities to make profits from day trading)
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@philiprhoades ·
I have been liking your videos for a while now - however you seem to have made two incompatible comments recently:
"buy the dips"
and:
"Monero can't seem to go anywhere but up"
- so really, if you like Monero, you should just buy it instead of waiting for a dip?
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