Crypto Contest November 6: Status Report XXII by maarnio

cryptocurrency · @maarnio · Nov 6 '18

$7.46

Crypto Contest November 6: Status Report XXII

In this report I will look how my analysis worked for the month of September 2018. There were 20 contests in September. I have already paid out all of them. The analysis was correct one time. The analysis was wrong seven times. The cryptocurrency was in a range 12 times.

**The correct ones were the following:**

1. [Crypto Contest September 15: Moeda Loyalty Points](https://steemit.com/moeda/@maarnio/crypto-contest-september-15-moeda-loyalty-points)


<p></p>

**In these contests the range option won:**

1. [Crypto Contest September 4: Tokes](https://steemit.com/tokes/@maarnio/crypto-contest-september-4-tokes)

2. [Crypto Contest September 5: Steem](https://steemit.com/steem/@maarnio/crypto-contest-september-5-steem)

3. [Crypto Contest September 7: Status Report XX](https://steemit.com/cryptocurrency/@maarnio/crypto-contest-september-7-status-report-xx)

4. [Crypto Contest September 8: Qwark](https://steemit.com/qwark/@maarnio/crypto-contest-september-8-qwark)

5. [Crypto Contest September 11: PotCoin](https://steemit.com/potcoin/@maarnio/crypto-contest-september-11-potcoin)

6. [Crypto Contest September 12: TRON](https://steemit.com/tron/@maarnio/crypto-contest-september-12-tron)

7. [Crypto Contest September 14: Decred](https://steemit.com/decred/@maarnio/crypto-contest-september-14-decred)

8. [Crypto Contest September 16: Wanchain](https://steemit.com/wanchain/@maarnio/crypto-contest-september-16-wanchain)

9. [Crypto Contest September 22: Crown](https://steemit.com/crown/@maarnio/crypto-contest-september-22-crown)

10. [Crypto Contest September 24: Stellar](https://steemit.com/stellar/@maarnio/crypto-contest-september-24-stellar)

11. [Crypto Contest September 25: Ripple](https://steemit.com/ripple/@maarnio/crypto-contest-september-25-ripple)

12. [Crypto Contest September 30: Tierion](https://steemit.com/tierion/@maarnio/crypto-contest-september-30-tierion)


<p></p>

**In these contests the analysis was wrong:**

1. [Crypto Contest September 1: Energycoin](https://steemit.com/energycoin/@maarnio/crypto-contest-september-1-energycoin)

2. [Crypto Contest September 2: CannabisCoin](https://steemit.com/cannabiscoin/@maarnio/crypto-contest-september-2-cannabiscoin)

3. [Crypto Contest September 3: Pesetacoin](https://steemit.com/pesetacoin/@maarnio/crypto-contest-september-3-pesetacoin)

4. [Crypto Contest September 6: VeriumReserve](https://steemit.com/verium/@maarnio/crypto-contest-september-6-veriumreserve)

5. [Crypto Contest September 9: Bitmark](https://steemit.com/bitmark/@maarnio/crypto-contest-september-9-bitmark)

6. [Crypto Contest September 10: Shift](https://steemit.com/shift/@maarnio/crypto-contest-september-10-shift)

7. [Crypto Contest September 13: Bitcoin Plus](https://steemit.com/bitcoinplus/@maarnio/crypto-contest-september-13-bitcoin-plus)


<p></p>

**How did the previous months' analysis go?**

From April 1, 2017 to September 30, 2018, the analysis has been correct 123 times, wrong 114 times, and the cryptocurrency has been in a range 289 times.
![nimetön.png](https://ipfs.busy.org/ipfs/QmXUzTFaKizULtrxeDxEdcJca5ipRCeWK2kuVRkVU1KJTo)
<p></p>

**How did the voters do in September 2018?**

The voters (the most qualified votes (group or consensus)) were right 13 out of 20 times. So one could say that the crowd was right 65% of time.

Here is the list of contests that the most qualified votes (crowd) won:

1. [Crypto Contest September 4: Tokes](https://steemit.com/tokes/@maarnio/crypto-contest-september-4-tokes)

2. [Crypto Contest September 5: Steem](https://steemit.com/steem/@maarnio/crypto-contest-september-5-steem)

3. [Crypto Contest September 6: VeriumReserve](https://steemit.com/verium/@maarnio/crypto-contest-september-6-veriumreserve)

4. [Crypto Contest September 8: Qwark](https://steemit.com/qwark/@maarnio/crypto-contest-september-8-qwark)

5. [Crypto Contest September 9: Bitmark](https://steemit.com/bitmark/@maarnio/crypto-contest-september-9-bitmark)

6. [Crypto Contest September 11: PotCoin](https://steemit.com/potcoin/@maarnio/crypto-contest-september-11-potcoin)

7. [Crypto Contest September 12: TRON](https://steemit.com/tron/@maarnio/crypto-contest-september-12-tron)

8. [Crypto Contest September 14: Decred](https://steemit.com/decred/@maarnio/crypto-contest-september-14-decred)

9. [Crypto Contest September 16: Wanchain](https://steemit.com/wanchain/@maarnio/crypto-contest-september-16-wanchain)

10. [Crypto Contest September 22: Crown](https://steemit.com/crown/@maarnio/crypto-contest-september-22-crown)

11. [Crypto Contest September 24: Stellar](https://steemit.com/stellar/@maarnio/crypto-contest-september-24-stellar)

12. [Crypto Contest September 25: Ripple](https://steemit.com/ripple/@maarnio/crypto-contest-september-25-ripple)

13. [Crypto Contest September 30: Tierion](https://steemit.com/tierion/@maarnio/crypto-contest-september-30-tierion)


<p></p>

**How did the voters do earlier this year?**

Here is a table of crowd's accuracy since February.
![nimetön2.png](https://ipfs.busy.org/ipfs/QmQrtvfB6kEjvXvwyhGHEyhRfYycMzLwqE6y5EWzWfuKi5)
September was the best month since May for the crowd's accuracy.

<p></p>

**Conclusion**

Congratulations to the winners!

![steemverify.png](https://ipfs.busy.org/ipfs/QmdAfzq4zLE9mrf92TnPADBptzixPXcJ68h8piptCZoCed)

**How about next month (October 2018)?**

If you think my analysis is correct more times than wrong or range, upvote this post (min $0.01) and upvote the comment (min $0.01) "The analysis is right most of the time in the October 2018 contests".

If you think my analysis is wrong more times than right or range, upvote this post (min $0.01) and upvote the comment (min $0.01) "The analysis is wrong most of the time in the October 2018 contests".

If you think the cryptocurrencies are in the range more often than right or wrong, upvote this post (min $0.01) and upvote the comment (min $0.01) "The cryptocurrencies are in the range most of the time in the October 2018 contests".

You can upvote the comment until 3 PM EST November 9 and you can upvote only one comment. 50% of SBD from this post will be distributed equally to the winners.

**Bonus 1**

I will be sending one Trophy Token (@trophy-token) to everyone who manages to get these crypto contests right seven times in a row. If/when you accomplish this, please contact me at Steemit Chat with your BitShares address.

**Bonus 2**

Upvote the right comment and the main post with at least $0.10 and you will get 3 x the winning prize.

👍 ctrl-alt-nwo, redes, busy.pay, mangos, anotherjoe, timm, steem-ua, dine77, qurator, timewarp, freiheit50, make-a-whale, crokkon, abh12345, qustodian, allyouneedtoknow, gregory-f, abduhawab, knowkrish, moon32walker, toofasteddie, costanza, diana.feuerberg, borran, reconnectnature, englishtchrivy, upvoteshares, barbadosso, skepticology, escapeamericanow, whitebot, kunschj, vicspics, digitalking, ace108, suomibotti, steemit.nemesis, maarnio, jznsamuel, kapitanpolak, folker-wulff, starline, jlordc, steem-d-anlovnit, mgood, sbi3, feedyourminnows, simonjay, lucasgabd, themovieplace, fullcoverbetting, timm-caja, galasek, criptorafa, runningproject, bxlphabet, koskl, fitinfun, richard78624, what-is-life, sporttr, nzl19500, fractalnode, beiker, and 33 others

`post_id`	65,578,965
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`created`	2018-11-06 12:01:27
`last_update`	2018-11-06 12:01:27
`depth`	0
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`cashout_time`	1969-12-31 23:59:59
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`pending_payout_value`	0.000 SBD
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`body_length`	6,498
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`root_title`	"Crypto Contest November 6: Status Report XXII"
`beneficiaries`	`[]`
`max_accepted_payout`	1,000,000.000 SBD
`percent_steem_dollars`	10,000
`author_curate_reward`	""

properties (23)vote details (97)

voter	rshares	pct
fractalnode	4,646,478,216	3%
yefet	257,704,654	100%
gregory-f	66,857,075,359	100%
moon32walker	34,462,409,808	40%
ace108	15,672,762,768	1%
freskil	0	100%
borran	26,019,676,995	16%
anotherjoe	585,406,287,651	50%
escapeamericanow	20,588,313,583	50%
englishtchrivy	23,561,816,321	10%
chadmichaellibby	1,505,428,394	100%
maarnio	12,588,639,104	5%
allyouneedtoknow	71,008,912,538	60%
abh12345	78,048,857,588	10%
koskl	5,274,590,774	100%
fortinbuff	738,527,587	50%
eforucom	3,506,248,428	1.16%
busy.pay	782,177,436,788	3.76%
expat	179,222,148	50%
freiheit50	117,611,325,923	100%
simonjay	8,017,184,522	20%
redes	1,080,404,347,098	21%
mangos	658,299,848,957	18%
expatembassy	193,690,958	50%
starline	10,823,926,180	100%
yadamaniart	731,266,969	1.87%
timm	553,688,062,095	50%
deaconlee	0	1%
abduhawab	64,880,937,355	80%
sevinwilson	2,105,673,513	10%
kunschj	19,863,958,836	50%
thecrazygm	1,532,239,481	50%
ctrl-alt-nwo	1,270,635,079,587	30%
richard78624	5,127,225,238	100%
reconnectnature	25,710,706,831	30%
themovieplace	7,176,749,155	100%
jznsamuel	12,233,524,414	8%
steemit.nemesis	12,620,324,792	100%
skepticology	21,277,756,741	25%
asridsyaref	3,549,064,396	100%
c-c-c	1,033,380,942	100%
digitalking	17,016,581,517	100%
toofasteddie	32,354,837,478	30%
fitinfun	5,213,350,894	15%
dine77	171,999,934,838	100%
lucasgabd	7,647,149,117	100%
theleapingkoala	170,025,239	0.93%
costanza	30,277,091,063	20%
steem-d-anlovnit	9,951,746,553	20%
make-a-whale	114,625,977,100	15.41%
crokkon	100,977,483,434	100%
knowkrish	48,508,732,529	100%
vicspics	17,417,069,556	100%
criptorafa	6,597,836,713	22%
espoem	1,706,164,412	1%
plantstoplanks	2,375,794,443	7%
bxlphabet	5,423,256,917	18%
feedyourminnows	8,426,900,560	10%
folker-wulff	10,832,040,474	25%
qurator	148,405,295,753	3.75%
beiker	4,046,761,688	100%
mgood	8,540,800,013	100%
qustodian	71,040,430,993	18.12%
what-is-life	5,065,630,450	100%
belahcene	758,220,871	100%
barbadosso	22,772,277,442	100%
askeb	3,087,934,099	100%
mehta	2,859,238,561	7%
kapitanpolak	11,125,569,664	100%
galasek	6,673,902,222	100%
fullcoverbetting	6,892,075,714	12%
sporttr	4,900,758,912	100%
yankee-statman	2,484,328,702	8%
jlordc	10,475,391,040	20%
leonnowsden	557,388,932	100%
verhp11	150,636,463	1%
suomibotti	13,172,173,459	40%
runningproject	6,088,781,608	35%
redheadpei	172,350,525	5%
nzl19500	4,850,880,040	100%
crypto-maestro	475,755,575	100%
tradrhacks	1,214,848,935	100%
run.vince.run	2,197,829,709	17.5%
projecthome	370,344,837	100%
sbi3	8,508,145,441	1%
primersion	3,251,412,444	26.25%
marcovugts	2,726,280,716	100%
mitrin	1,152,009,047	50%
timewarp	119,528,095,183	100%
porkfondant	504,757,964	100%
torrey.blog	688,989,747	8.75%
upvoteshares	23,461,972,919	30%
undaeabs	506,083,088	100%
diana.feuerberg	28,957,704,447	100%
steem-ua	230,334,317,971	1.82%
timm-caja	6,832,472,950	50%
whitebot	20,033,156,753	1%

@maarnio · Nov 10 '18 (edited)

$0.13

The analysis is right most of the time in the October 2018 contests (3 voters as of 3 PM EST November 9: allyouneedtoknow, ace108, sporttr).

👍 allyouneedtoknow, ace108, sporttr

`post_id`	65,578,995
`author`	maarnio
`permlink`	re-maarnio-crypto-contest-november-6-status-report-xxii-20181106t120210089z
`category`	cryptocurrency
`json_metadata`	{"app":"steemit\/0.1","tags":["cryptocurrency"]}
`created`	2018-11-06 12:02:12
`last_update`	2018-11-10 12:38:33
`depth`	1
`children`	0
`net_rshares`	120,121,128,126
`last_payout`	2018-11-13 12:02:12
`cashout_time`	1969-12-31 23:59:59
`total_payout_value`	0.098 SBD
`curator_payout_value`	0.031 SBD
`pending_payout_value`	0.000 SBD
`promoted`	0.000 SBD
`body_length`	140
`author_reputation`	266,413,087,430,553
`root_title`	"Crypto Contest November 6: Status Report XXII"
`beneficiaries`	`[]`
`max_accepted_payout`	1,000,000.000 SBD
`percent_steem_dollars`	10,000
`author_curate_reward`	""

properties (23)vote details (3)

voter	rshares	pct
ace108	15,670,048,956	1%
allyouneedtoknow	99,449,358,504	85%
sporttr	5,001,720,666	100%

@maarnio · Nov 10 '18 (edited)

$0.03

The analysis is wrong most of the time in the October 2018 contests (3 voters as of 3 PM EST November 9: vicspics, galasek, fullcoverbetting).

👍 vicspics, galasek, fullcoverbetting

`post_id`	65,579,015
`author`	maarnio
`permlink`	re-maarnio-crypto-contest-november-6-status-report-xxii-20181106t120236021z
`category`	cryptocurrency
`json_metadata`	{"app":"steemit\/0.1","tags":["cryptocurrency"]}
`created`	2018-11-06 12:02:36
`last_update`	2018-11-10 12:39:27
`depth`	1
`children`	1
`net_rshares`	29,728,195,772
`last_payout`	2018-11-13 12:02:36
`cashout_time`	1969-12-31 23:59:59
`total_payout_value`	0.023 SBD
`curator_payout_value`	0.006 SBD
`pending_payout_value`	0.000 SBD
`promoted`	0.000 SBD
`body_length`	142
`author_reputation`	266,413,087,430,553
`root_title`	"Crypto Contest November 6: Status Report XXII"
`beneficiaries`	`[]`
`max_accepted_payout`	1,000,000.000 SBD
`percent_steem_dollars`	10,000
`author_curate_reward`	""

properties (23)vote details (3)

voter	rshares	pct
vicspics	17,773,231,436	100%
galasek	6,810,862,728	100%
fullcoverbetting	5,144,101,608	9%

@fullcoverbetting · Nov 6 '18

$0.04

Sorry I do hope that the analysis will be more good than wrong but with the current market I don’t see this happening!
Cheers,
Peter

👍 maarnio

`post_id`	65,580,495
`author`	fullcoverbetting
`permlink`	re-maarnio-re-maarnio-crypto-contest-november-6-status-report-xxii-20181106t123252711z
`category`	cryptocurrency
`json_metadata`	{"format":"markdown","community":"busy","app":"busy\/2.5.6","image":[],"links":[],"users":[],"tags":["cryptocurrency"]}
`created`	2018-11-06 12:32:57
`last_update`	2018-11-06 12:32:57
`depth`	2
`children`	0
`net_rshares`	35,429,245,089
`last_payout`	2018-11-13 12:32:57
`cashout_time`	1969-12-31 23:59:59
`total_payout_value`	0.028 SBD
`curator_payout_value`	0.009 SBD
`pending_payout_value`	0.000 SBD
`promoted`	0.000 SBD
`body_length`	132
`author_reputation`	95,255,242,917,677
`root_title`	"Crypto Contest November 6: Status Report XXII"
`beneficiaries`	`[]`
`max_accepted_payout`	1,000,000.000 SBD
`percent_steem_dollars`	10,000
`author_curate_reward`	""

properties (23)vote details (1)

voter	weight	wgt%	rshares	pct	time
maarnio	0 B		35,429,245,089	14%

@maarnio · Nov 10 '18 (edited)

$0.30

The cryptocurrencies are in the range most of the time in the October 2018 contests (21 voters as of 3 PM EST November 9: gregory-f, barbadosso, skepticology, crokkon, toofasteddie, kunschj, steemit.nemesis, jznsamuel, starline, jlordc, steem-d-anlovnit, diogosantos, reconnectnature, mgood, simonjay, mitrado, lucasgabd, themovieplace, criptorafa, richard78624, nzl19500).

👍 gregory-f, barbadosso, skepticology, crokkon, toofasteddie, kunschj, steemit.nemesis, jznsamuel, starline, jlordc, steem-d-anlovnit, diogosantos, reconnectnature, mgood, simonjay, lucasgabd, themovieplace, criptorafa, richard78624, nzl19500

`post_id`	65,579,033
`author`	maarnio
`permlink`	re-maarnio-crypto-contest-november-6-status-report-xxii-20181106t120300486z
`category`	cryptocurrency
`json_metadata`	{"app":"steemit\/0.1","tags":["cryptocurrency"]}
`created`	2018-11-06 12:03:00
`last_update`	2018-11-10 12:34:48
`depth`	1
`children`	3
`net_rshares`	283,374,327,364
`last_payout`	2018-11-13 12:03:00
`cashout_time`	1969-12-31 23:59:59
`total_payout_value`	0.233 SBD
`curator_payout_value`	0.069 SBD
`pending_payout_value`	0.000 SBD
`promoted`	0.000 SBD
`body_length`	373
`author_reputation`	266,413,087,430,553
`root_title`	"Crypto Contest November 6: Status Report XXII"
`beneficiaries`	`[]`
`max_accepted_payout`	1,000,000.000 SBD
`percent_steem_dollars`	10,000
`author_curate_reward`	""

properties (23)vote details (20)

voter	rshares	pct
gregory-f	57,647,751,182	100%
simonjay	7,986,080,572	20%
starline	10,606,674,196	100%
kunschj	16,511,007,235	42%
richard78624	5,023,912,777	100%
reconnectnature	8,486,815,861	10%
themovieplace	7,032,469,758	100%
jznsamuel	12,253,115,212	8%
steemit.nemesis	13,001,861,913	100%
skepticology	21,172,177,973	25%
toofasteddie	17,129,269,364	16%
lucasgabd	7,494,007,921	100%
steem-d-anlovnit	9,912,161,804	20%
crokkon	19,681,883,602	20%
criptorafa	6,267,791,102	21%
mgood	8,402,950,518	100%
barbadosso	22,316,158,573	100%
diogosantos	9,553,755,341	100%
jlordc	10,433,690,087	20%
nzl19500	4,950,814,416	100%

@steemit.nemesis · Nov 7 '18

$0.04

I would never bet against your pretty good analysis :-)

👍 maarnio, pixelfan, mys, cheneats

`post_id`	65,627,336
`author`	steemit.nemesis
`permlink`	re-maarnio-re-maarnio-crypto-contest-november-6-status-report-xxii-20181107t075100571z
`category`	cryptocurrency
`json_metadata`	{"tags":["cryptocurrency"],"app":"steemit\/0.1"}
`created`	2018-11-07 07:51:00
`last_update`	2018-11-07 07:51:00
`depth`	2
`children`	1
`net_rshares`	39,491,852,111
`last_payout`	2018-11-14 07:51:00
`cashout_time`	1969-12-31 23:59:59
`total_payout_value`	0.032 SBD
`curator_payout_value`	0.008 SBD
`pending_payout_value`	0.000 SBD
`promoted`	0.000 SBD
`body_length`	55
`author_reputation`	1,548,816,618,912
`root_title`	"Crypto Contest November 6: Status Report XXII"
`beneficiaries`	`[]`
`max_accepted_payout`	1,000,000.000 SBD
`percent_steem_dollars`	10,000
`author_curate_reward`	""

properties (23)vote details (4)

voter	rshares	pct
maarnio	37,781,568,348	14%
mys	471,813,571	0.4%
pixelfan	908,062,878	0.38%
cheneats	330,407,314	25%

@maarnio · Dec 12 '18

You were pretty right.

properties (22)

`post_id`	67,331,122
`author`	maarnio
`permlink`	re-steemitnemesis-re-maarnio-re-maarnio-crypto-contest-november-6-status-report-xxii-20181212t151227296z
`category`	cryptocurrency
`json_metadata`	{"app":"steemit\/0.1","tags":["cryptocurrency"]}
`created`	2018-12-12 15:12:27
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@maarnio · Dec 12 '18

You won. Paid out from @maarnio1

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@steem-ua · Nov 7 '18

#### Hi @maarnio!

Your post was upvoted by @steem-ua, new Steem dApp, using UserAuthority for algorithmic post curation!
Your **UA** account score is currently 4.861 which ranks you at **#1251** across all Steem accounts.
Your rank has improved 1 places in the last three days (old rank 1252).

In our last Algorithmic Curation Round, consisting of 306 contributions, your post is ranked at **#128**.
##### Evaluation of your UA score:

* Some people are already following you, keep going!
* The readers like your work!
* Try to improve on your user engagement! The more interesting interaction in the comments of your post, the better!


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