RE: 47% of all jobs will be lost through automation fuelled by AI... by pedrobrito2004

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Viewing a response to: @doifeellucky/47-of-all-jobs-will-be-lost-through-automation-fuelled-by-ai

· @pedrobrito2004 ·
I think you are right that the evolution of technology and the social and economic transformations that produce these advances are things that we cannot escape, the loss of jobs is one of the unpleasant consequences that has already been seen with other historical cases, such as the creation of large looms, steam engines and the massification of electricity.

Now, rather than considering it a loss of jobs, I think they fit more into the idea of ​​an evolution of the needs of the economic system in terms of human resources, so if a human resource cannot adjust to progress, it is discarded or set aside by the system. I know it sounds cruel, but this reality is a cold and ruthless thing, it has no mercy for the elements it doesn't need.

So, if AI is massively implanted, it is certain that it will occupy many niches in the labor market and will cause many current jobs to be obsolete. If the ruling classes do not take measures so that the population is trained and manages to build responses to this future, then we will surely have a lot of social tension and possibly notable conflicts.

By the way, the Venezuelan case is something so peculiar that I do not believe that as an example for almost any other case, after all, I have had to see it from the inside and it seems that so many errors in political, economic and social measures were a lethal cocktail of ineptitude , excessive corruption and some psychopathic impulse to want to kill as many people as possible.

I wonder if my job is at risk? Well, if I think it is, I work in teaching, but I'm from an old generation and I know that an expert system with a good chatbot module and user-friendly programming could answer many of the questions that are presented to my students, as well or better than I would, maybe. Of course, I am told that the part of the empathy necessary for interaction and the stimulus for learning is something very human and that there still people like me will be necessary ... but, I don't have so much confidence in that, after all, a Good system can even simulate that, so an AI can learn to do it too.

Am I ready to lose my job? In part, no. Although I am not totally lost, because providing advice would still be within my field of capabilities and future possibilities.
πŸ‘  
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@doifeellucky · (edited)
Hello @pedrobrito2004,

thanks for your comment! 

I agree with all that you write here 100%. 

I am quite sure that it must be obvious to "the ruling class" (tbh I thought a little longer about this classification til I had to nod) what is in front of us all. 

But I also know that social/political and for the most part economical change and adjustment is slow. Everything that exceeds an time horizon of a few years isn't so much in the focus of those in power now, be it an politician who's self preservation mechanisms prohibit to engage in issues beyond his legislation period or far beyond the next elections, if he's active in a democracy at least, or an CEO to go against money to be made right now in contrast to things that would take a few years to unfold.

That's why I think that the AI development in China became so scary fast in the last 5 years. The ruling class that is in place just decides upon what needs to happen and that's that. They support big tech and big commerce as long as they stay in line with the political agenda of the rulers. This lead too this treasure trove of data which is ever increasing, not at last due to their disregard of privacy idea's in general, the life blood of every AI development.

This is why the west and especially the US will have a hard time to keep their front runner position in this field. They US already are pretty lax when it comes to enforcing privacy besides in some niches like HIPAA (health care data regulations) but still no par to China!

"If data is the new Gold than China is the new Saudi Arabia!" was said in this documentation that I was referring too and I think this is true!

When people think about threats introduced by AI the all fall into that "Skynet Terminator" thing. 

Even if this also is (in terms of FAW/LAW) a real possibility and danger... for the moment the clear and present danger comes from the social economic changes that AI will introduce to all mankind.  

At last, to reflect on the own, personal consequences of these AI driven, worldwide changes is tough, but I think it's good advice for everyone to reflect a little on that!

Like you came to the conclusion that your job might be at risk I come to the same result when I look at my occupation right now!

There are already AI driven cyber security defense systems in the wild! When it comes to awareness training, IT security training which is at least 30% of my job as information security officer the same class of expert systems that already start to replace others, even or especially with academic backgrounds, like lawyers for instance, could make my work in this regard obsolete pretty "soonish" I guess.

The last field of expertise that the AI maybe will need for a while will be the implementation and further training were maybe in some parts my advice would be of some merit to it.

In my field of expertise IT security this is especially weird I guess because right now this field is placed in the job market as "THE thing to do" for the young digital natives. 

And it's true, right now we have so many open positions in this field, and it's hard to find experts.

I'm pretty sure this demand will die down in the next 5-10 years because there's a better choice available. 

_It works 24/7, doesn't demand a wage and constant raises, no sick days, no holidays and is way more competent than all of the human information security specialists together._ 

Cheers!
Lucky
πŸ‘  
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@pedrobrito2004 · (edited)
Some time ago I wrote a post on these topics, in part it was born from a long response that I gave to a colleague in one of his posts. I wrote it in Spanish, but (despite the deficiencies in grammar and other things) with a little help from the translator it is understood: [Artificial Intelligence and Human Possibilities](https://pedrobrito2004.000webhostapp.com/language/en/2019/09/artificial-and-human-possibility-intelligence)

There is a section towards the end of the post that is the one I want to highlight, it said:
<h1>
>**And the future of Humans?**</h1>
>
>What will happen to humans before this? I am not so sure that they take it in a good way, after all, the story I know of my species is not very sweet, it is enough for me to remember that with the Industrial Revolution, a lot of jobs became obsolete and many unprepared workers they fell into a state of terrible misery, in some cases they attacked the factories that had the new equipment and resisted the technical advance, but everything was useless, simply that generation suffered the change of world and suffered in terrible agony and misery.<center>
![](https://fromliverpooltomanchester.files.wordpress.com/2013/03/blog-2.jpg?w=1140)
[Source of Image - post in Spanish](https://fromliverpooltomanchester.wordpress.com/2013/03/08/la-pobreza-en-la-revolucion-industrial-inglesa/)
</center>
>
>I think that by reducing available jobs and increasing AI their capabilities, even having a sensitive capacity for aesthetics, social problems will be inevitable, but they will not stop the future, they will simply be the death of a dying group.

πŸ‘  
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@doifeellucky ·
I’m afraid you are very right with these words!

Cheers!
Lucky
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@crypto.piotr ·
I've tried to open that link @pedrobrito2004 but it doesnt exist :/
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@crypto.piotr ·
I just bumped into this comment a moment ago @doifeellucky.
Seriously great read. Love how responsive you are.

Yours, Piotr
πŸ‘  
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@doifeellucky ·
Ty Piotr!

Cheers!
Lucky
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@crypto.piotr ·
what an amazing comment @pedrobrito2004
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@pedrobrito2004 ·
<center>![](https://artsandcraftsbusiness.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/05/thanks-for-your-comments-blue.jpg)
[Source of pic](https://artsandcraftsbusiness.com/how-to-get-more-comments-on-your-blog/)</center>
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